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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $642M small-cap · #4 of 5 peers
Summary

Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mativ Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mativ Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $642M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 5 Paper Mills issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MATV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MATV included.

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Price

MATV price chart and AI forecast

MATV
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How MATV ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Paper Mills peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMATVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $642M $1.28B 4/5
P/E Ratio 7.18x – –
P/B Ratio 1.36x – –
Dividend Yield 3.49% – –
EPS $1.87 – –
Book Value/Share $8.53 – –
Revenue/Share $36.02 – –
FCF/Share $2.31 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMATVIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.0% – –
ROA 4.5% – –
ROIC 4.1% – –
Gross Margin 19.4% – –
Operating Margin 3.5% – –
Net Margin 4.5% – –
EBT Margin -0.9% – –
Tax Rate 605.6% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricMATVIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.98x – –
Quick Ratio 0.95x – –
D/E Ratio 3.23x – –
Financial Leverage 4.23x – –
Interest Coverage 1.2x – –
Working Capital $324M – –

Cash Flow

MetricMATVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $161M – –
Free Cash Flow $128M – –
Capital Spending -$33M – –
OCF Growth YoY 55.7% – –
FCF Growth YoY 174.0% – –
FCF/Sales 6.4% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.7% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricMATVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.00x – –
Receivables Turnover 9.4x – –
Inventory Turnover 4.7x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.3x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 39 days – –
Days Inventory 77 days – –
Payables Period 45 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 71 days – –

Income Statement

MetricMATVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.99B – –
Operating Income $68M – –
Net Income $89M – –
R&D Expense $21M – –
SG&A Expense $220M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $1.60B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMATVIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.41 – –
Payout Ratio 21.9% – –
Shares Outstanding 55M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$655M32.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$66M3.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$211M10.6% of assets
Inventory$340M17.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.52B76.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$132M6.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MATV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Paper Mills

Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mativ Holdings, Inc. (Paper Mills): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MATV Mativ Holdings, Inc. ▼ $642M 7.2x 1.4x
IP International Paper Co /New/ ▼ $16.85B – 1.2x
SUZ Suzano S.A. ▶ $10.91B – –
SLVM Sylvamo Corp ▶ $1.28B – 1.3x
MAGN Magnera Corp ▼ $397M – 1.9x

Where MATV sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Paper Mills
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News

Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock news

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FAQ

Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mativ Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mativ Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MATV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mativ Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Mativ Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Mativ Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, MATV included, share the SEC industry code Paper Mills. The largest are: International Paper Co /New/ (IP), Suzano S.A. (SUZ), Sylvamo Corp (SLVM), Magnera Corp (MAGN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.