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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $4.61B mid-cap · #3 of 6 peers
Summary

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mercury Systems Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mercury Systems Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.61B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 Electronic Components & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MRCY is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MRCY included.

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Price

MRCY price chart and AI forecast

MRCY
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How MRCY ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electronic Components & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMRCYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.61B $4.05B 3/6
P/B Ratio 3.08x 2.37x 2/6
EPS $-0.50 – –
Book Value/Share $24.90 – –
Revenue/Share $16.36 – –
FCF/Share $1.13 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMRCYIndustry medianRank
ROE -1.1% 0.7% 4/5
ROA -0.7% 0.5% 4/5
Gross Margin 28.5% 31.9% 4/6
Operating Margin 0.0% 3.4% 5/6
Net Margin -1.6% 0.7% 4/5
EBT Margin -2.8% 2.2% 5/6
Tax Rate -2.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricMRCYIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.55x 0.47x 3/6
Financial Leverage 1.55x 1.46x 3/6
Interest Coverage 2.2x – –

Cash Flow

MetricMRCYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $102M $182M 4/6
Free Cash Flow $68M $31M 3/6
Capital Spending -$34M -$38M 3/6
OCF Growth YoY -26.3% 15.2% 4/5
FCF Growth YoY -49.8% – –
FCF/Sales 6.9% 3.4% 3/6
CapEx/Sales 3.5% 5.2% 4/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricMRCYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.42x 0.53x 4/6

Income Statement

MetricMRCYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $983M $794M 3/6
Operating Income $0.00M $60M 5/6
Net Income -$16M $2M 4/5
R&D Expense $60M – –
SG&A Expense $175M $147M 3/6
Cost of Goods Sold $702M $452M 3/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMRCYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 60M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$825M35.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MRCY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Electronic Components & Accessories

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mercury Systems Inc (Electronic Components & Accessories): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MRCY Mercury Systems Inc ▲ $4.61B – 3.1x
HUBB Hubbell Inc ▼ $25.25B 27.3x 6.5x
VSH Vishay Intertechnology Inc ▶ $4.87B – 1.7x
OLED Universal Display Corp \Pa\ ▶ $3.48B 17.8x 2.1x
VPG Vishay Precision Group, Inc. ▶ $899M 227.7x 2.7x
KULR Kulr Technology Group, Inc. ▼ $100M – 1.4x

Where MRCY sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Electronic Components & Accessories
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News

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock news

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FAQ

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mercury Systems Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mercury Systems Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MRCY is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mercury Systems Inc forecasts updated?

Mercury Systems Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Mercury Systems Inc's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, MRCY included, share the SEC industry code Electronic Components & Accessories. The largest are: Hubbell Inc (HUBB), Vishay Intertechnology Inc (VSH), Universal Display Corp \Pa\ (OLED), Vishay Precision Group, Inc. (VPG), Kulr Technology Group, Inc. (KULR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.