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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $7.03B mid-cap · #4 of 14 peers
Summary

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.03B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 14 Water Transportation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 8.33x is the highest of the 14 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NCLH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NCLH included.

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Price

NCLH price chart and AI forecast

NCLH
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How NCLH ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Transportation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNCLHIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.03B $2.77B 4/14
P/E Ratio 9.25x 15.17x 5/5
P/B Ratio 2.73x 2.12x 3/13
EPS $1.33 – –
Book Value/Share $5.60 – –
Revenue/Share $22.11 – –
FCF/Share $-2.58 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNCLHIndustry medianRank
ROE 29.6% 17.5% 2/8
ROA 3.2% 6.8% 8/10
ROIC 8.7% 14.1% 9/12
Gross Margin 42.5% 42.5% 4/5
Operating Margin 15.1% 15.1% 6/10
Net Margin 7.5% 18.5% 8/10
EBT Margin 7.6% 14.9% 8/10
Tax Rate 1.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricNCLHIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.20x 0.79x 13/14
Quick Ratio 0.17x 0.69x 11/11
D/E Ratio 8.33x 0.83x 1/14
Financial Leverage 9.33x 1.83x 1/14
Interest Coverage 88.5x 2.5x 2/16
Working Capital -$5.05B -$13M 12/14

Cash Flow

MetricNCLHIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.11B $363M 3/12
Free Cash Flow -$1.19B – –
Capital Spending -$3.30B – –
OCF Growth YoY 7.3% 9.2% 6/9
FCF/Sales -11.7% – –
CapEx/Sales 32.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricNCLHIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.42x 0.49x 4/6
Receivables Turnover 36.7x 23.5x 3/6
Inventory Turnover 36.2x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.6x 4/6
Days Sales Outstanding 10 days 23 days 4/6
Days Inventory 10 days – –
Payables Period 15 days 17 days 4/5
Cash Conversion Cycle 5 days – –

Income Statement

MetricNCLHIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $10.15B $6.82B 3/6
Operating Income $1.53B $370M 3/13
Net Income $760M $274M 2/10
SG&A Expense $1.64B $1.64B 3/5
Cost of Goods Sold $5.84B $7.00B 4/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNCLHIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 459M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.27B5.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$218M0.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$277M1.2% of assets
Inventory$161M0.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$21.44B89.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$6.09B25.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NCLH quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Water Transportation

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (Water Transportation): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ▼ $7.03B 9.3x 2.7x
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd ▼ $75.29B 17.1x 7.4x
CCL Carnival Corp Ltd. ▶ $36.61B 11.7x 1.6x
KEX Kirby Corp ▶ $7.22B 20.3x 2.1x
MATX Matson, Inc. ▶ $7.03B 15.2x 2.5x
GLNG Golar Lng Ltd ▼ $4.86B – 2.5x
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. ▼ $3.68B – 1.8x
NAT Nordic American Tankers Ltd ▲ $1.86B – 2.9x
FLNG Flex Lng Ltd. ▼ $1.65B – 2.4x
CMDB Costamare Bulkers Holdings Ltd ▲ $516M – 0.7x
EDRY Eurodry Ltd. ▲ $154M – 1.4x
DLNG Dynagas Lng Partners Lp ▼ $131M – 0.3x
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc ▶ $38M – –
USEA United Maritime Corp ▲ $25M – 0.5x
BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. ▶ N/A – –
KNOP Knot Offshore Partners Lp ▶ N/A – –
RUBI Rubico Inc. ▼ N/A – –
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd ▶ N/A – –

Where NCLH sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Water Transportation
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News

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock news

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FAQ

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NCLH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. forecasts updated?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, NCLH included, share the SEC industry code Water Transportation. The largest are: Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL), Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL), Kirby Corp (KEX), Matson, Inc. (MATX), Golar Lng Ltd (GLNG), Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.