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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $75.07B large-cap · #1 of 14 peers
Summary

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $75.07B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 14 Water Transportation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 7.33x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one. Its ROE of 43.0% is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for RCL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RCL included.

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Price

RCL price chart and AI forecast

RCL
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How RCL ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Transportation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRCLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $75.07B $2.81B 1/14
P/E Ratio 17.07x 15.17x 2/5
P/B Ratio 7.33x 2.12x 1/13
Dividend Yield 1.53% – –
EPS $16.18 – –
Book Value/Share $38.27 – –
Revenue/Share $69.85 – –
FCF/Share $-1.56 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRCLIndustry medianRank
ROE 43.0% 17.5% 1/8
ROA 9.8% 6.8% 3/10
ROIC 15.5% 14.1% 6/12
Gross Margin 49.1% 42.5% 2/5
Operating Margin 27.3% 15.1% 4/10
Net Margin 23.5% 18.5% 5/10
EBT Margin 22.6% 14.9% 4/10
Tax Rate 4.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricRCLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.21x 0.79x 12/14
Quick Ratio 0.19x 0.69x 10/11
D/E Ratio 3.34x 0.83x 2/14
Financial Leverage 4.36x 1.83x 2/14
Interest Coverage 3.0x 2.5x 7/16
Working Capital -$9.22B -$13M 14/14

Cash Flow

MetricRCLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6.79B $363M 2/12
Free Cash Flow -$416M – –
Capital Spending -$7.20B – –
OCF Growth YoY 18.3% 9.2% 4/9
FCF Growth YoY -111.6% – –
FCF/Sales -2.2% – –
CapEx/Sales 38.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricRCLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.42x 0.49x 4/6
Receivables Turnover 42.4x 23.5x 1/6
Inventory Turnover 35.6x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.6x 5/6
Days Sales Outstanding 9 days 23 days 6/6
Days Inventory 10 days – –
Payables Period 42 days 17 days 1/5
Cash Conversion Cycle -23 days – –

Income Statement

MetricRCLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $18.68B $6.82B 2/6
Operating Income $5.11B $370M 1/13
Net Income $4.40B $274M 1/10
SG&A Expense $2.25B $1.64B 2/5
Cost of Goods Sold $9.52B $7.00B 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRCLIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.30 – –
Payout Ratio 26.6% – –
Shares Outstanding 267M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.43B5.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$875M2.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$441M1.0% of assets
Inventory$267M0.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$34.18B76.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$10.56B23.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RCL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Water Transportation

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (Water Transportation): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd ▼ $75.07B 17.1x 7.3x
CCL Carnival Corp Ltd. ▶ $36.61B 11.7x 1.6x
KEX Kirby Corp ▶ $7.22B 20.3x 2.1x
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ▼ $7.03B 9.3x 2.7x
MATX Matson, Inc. ▶ $7.03B 15.2x 2.5x
GLNG Golar Lng Ltd ▼ $4.86B – 2.5x
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. ▼ $3.75B – 1.8x
NAT Nordic American Tankers Ltd ▲ $1.86B – 2.9x
FLNG Flex Lng Ltd. ▼ $1.65B – 2.4x
CMDB Costamare Bulkers Holdings Ltd ▶ $495M – 0.7x
EDRY Eurodry Ltd. ▲ $147M – 1.3x
DLNG Dynagas Lng Partners Lp ▼ $131M – 0.3x
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc ▶ $38M – –
USEA United Maritime Corp ▲ $25M – 0.5x
BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. ▶ N/A – –
KNOP Knot Offshore Partners Lp ▶ N/A – –
RUBI Rubico Inc. ▼ N/A – –
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd ▶ N/A – –

Where RCL sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Water Transportation
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News

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock news

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FAQ

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for RCL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd forecasts updated?

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd's industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, RCL included, share the SEC industry code Water Transportation. The largest are: Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL), Kirby Corp (KEX), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH), Matson, Inc. (MATX), Golar Lng Ltd (GLNG), Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.