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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $1.29B small-cap · #3 of 13 peers
Summary

Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Napco Security Technologies, Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Napco Security Technologies, Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.29B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 13 Communications Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 22.5% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 59.1% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NSSC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NSSC included.

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Price

NSSC price chart and AI forecast

NSSC
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How NSSC ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNSSCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.29B $69M 3/13
P/E Ratio 30.08x – –
P/B Ratio 6.78x 1.46x 2/11
Dividend Yield 1.57% – –
EPS $1.20 – –
Book Value/Share $5.34 – –
Revenue/Share $5.66 – –
FCF/Share $1.66 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNSSCIndustry medianRank
ROE 22.5% -10.5% 1/10
ROA 18.0% -13.0% 1/12
ROIC 23.3% 2.7% 2/13
Gross Margin 59.1% 47.9% 1/13
Operating Margin 22.6% -4.2% 2/13
Net Margin 21.3% -17.9% 3/12
EBT Margin 24.6% -4.1% 3/14
Tax Rate 13.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricNSSCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.90x 1.76x 2/14
Quick Ratio 4.19x 1.30x 2/13
D/E Ratio 0.25x 0.73x 10/12
Financial Leverage 1.25x 1.73x 10/12
Interest Coverage 1595.9x 0.2x 1/14
Working Capital $166M $11M 3/14

Cash Flow

MetricNSSCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $61M -$20K 3/15
Free Cash Flow $59M $16M 3/9
Capital Spending -$2M -$2M 5/9
OCF Growth YoY 14.2% 19.6% 5/6
FCF Growth YoY 15.2% – –
FCF/Sales 29.3% 3.5% 1/9
CapEx/Sales 0.9% 3.0% 7/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricNSSCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.85x 0.49x 3/12
Inventory Turnover 2.7x 2.9x 8/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 21.9x 11.0x 4/10
Days Inventory 133 days 125 days 6/13
Payables Period 31 days 84 days 10/10

Income Statement

MetricNSSCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $202M $110M 5/12
Operating Income $45M -$2M 2/14
Net Income $43M -$8M 2/13
R&D Expense $14M $13M 6/13
SG&A Expense $44M $32M 6/13
Cost of Goods Sold $83M $22M 6/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNSSCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.57 – –
Payout Ratio 47.5% – –
Shares Outstanding 36M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$208M87.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$127M53.2% of assets
Inventory$30M12.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$48M20.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$36M14.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NSSC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Communications Equipment, NEC

Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Napco Security Technologies, Inc (Communications Equipment, NEC): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc ▲ $1.29B 30.1x 6.8x
LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. ▲ $88.62B – 19.1x
ESE Esco Technologies Inc ▼ $6.75B 21.4x 4.2x
AIOT Powerfleet, Inc. ▲ $365M – 0.8x
RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. ▶ $97M – 1.5x
AMPG Amplitech Group, Inc. ▲ $80M – 1.7x
INSG Inseego Corp. ▲ $69M – –
REKR Rekor Systems, Inc. ▲ $50M – 1.5x
TRCK Track Group, Inc. ▼ $21M – 1.3x
KSCP Knightscope, Inc. ▲ $14M – 0.5x
MTEK Maris Tech Ltd. ▲ $5M – 1.3x
IWAL Iwallet Corp ▼ $2M – –
ASNS Actelis Networks Inc ▶ $1M – 0.2x
TBCH Turtle Beach Corp ▲ N/A – –
VISL Vislink Technologies, Inc. ▶ N/A – –

Where NSSC sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Communications Equipment, NEC
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News

Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock news

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FAQ

Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Napco Security Technologies, Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Napco Security Technologies, Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NSSC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Napco Security Technologies, Inc forecasts updated?

Napco Security Technologies, Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Napco Security Technologies, Inc's industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, NSSC included, share the SEC industry code Communications Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), Esco Technologies Inc (ESE), Powerfleet, Inc. (AIOT), George Risk Industries, Inc. (RSKIA), Amplitech Group, Inc. (AMPG), Inseego Corp. (INSG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.