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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5112 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 2.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $169.41B large-cap · #8 of 60 peers
Summary

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Novo Nordisk A S outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Novo Nordisk A S is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $169.41B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 176.6% is the highest of the 34 peers that report one. Its Current Ratio of 0.80x is the lowest of the 55 peers that report one.

For NVO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.6%, buy ≥ +3.2%, sell < +1.9%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NVO included.

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Price

NVO price chart and AI forecast

NVO
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How NVO ranks among 5112 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in DKK and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $169.41B $12.63B 8/60
P/E Ratio 2.83x 29.49x 28/29
EPS $13.48 – –
Revenue/Share $34.48 – –
FCF/Share $9.66 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
ROE 176.6% 6.3% 1/34
ROA 63.1% 0.3% 1/40
ROIC 132.4% 0.9% 1/43
Gross Margin 83.4% 82.0% 16/33
Operating Margin 43.0% 12.4% 5/36
Net Margin 34.0% 8.3% 5/33
EBT Margin 42.8% 12.3% 7/43
Tax Rate 20.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.80x 3.05x 55/55
Quick Ratio 0.57x 1.58x 40/41
D/E Ratio 1.80x 1.26x 13/45
Financial Leverage 2.80x 2.16x 12/44
Working Capital -$6.79B $863M 54/55

Cash Flow

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $64.99B $149M 1/54
Free Cash Flow $42.93B $148M 2/46
Capital Spending -$22.06B -$55M 46/46
OCF Growth YoY 115.7% 9.7% 6/32
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% 2.0% 16/29
FCF/Sales 28.0% 17.2% 9/39
CapEx/Sales 14.4% 2.5% 6/39

Operational Efficiency

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.86x 0.49x 2/39
Inventory Turnover 3.4x 1.7x 8/33
Days Inventory 108 days 212 days 26/33

Income Statement

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $153.22B $2.54B 2/43
Operating Income $65.83B $32M 1/46
Net Income $52.04B -$19M 1/42
R&D Expense $23.79B $548M 5/53
Cost of Goods Sold $25.45B $1.76B 5/33

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 4444M – –
Net Income Growth 104.6% -30.3% 1/12
EPS Growth 24.9% -14.1% 7/19

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from DKK)

Total Current Assets$27.12B
Cash & Short-term Investments$4.16B
Inventory$7.80B
Total Liabilities$54.86B
Quarterly Financial Reports

NVO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Pharmaceutical Preparations

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Novo Nordisk A S (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NVO Novo Nordisk A S ▼ $169.41B 2.8x –
LLY Eli Lilly & Co ▼ $1.14T 40.6x 115.8x
JNJ Johnson & Johnson ▼ $611.90B 29.5x 7.2x
ABBV Abbvie Inc. ▼ $500.94B 73.3x –
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. ▼ $363.59B 117.9x 8.7x
NVS Novartis Ag ▼ $280.27B 8.8x –
AZN Astrazeneca Plc ▼ $251.15B 11.7x –
ABT Abbott Laboratories ▼ $179.05B 28.8x 3.4x
PFE Pfizer Inc ▼ $166.49B 36.1x 2.0x
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma ▼ $126.35B 28.7x 6.2x
BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co ▼ $121.09B 13.0x 5.4x
GSK Gsk Plc ▼ $96.58B 5.3x –
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▼ $80.48B 19.3x 2.5x
SNY Sanofi ▼ $48.50B – –
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd ▶ $47.45B 67.1x 6.1x
ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. ▲ $39.96B 1212.0x 7.7x
RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc ▶ $33.92B 41.6x 5.0x
ZTS Zoetis Inc. ▼ $31.11B 11.9x 9.9x
TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ▼ $30.24B – –
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $30.04B 56.4x 22.2x
ATHE Alterity Therapeutics Ltd ▶ $25.65B – –
ZLAB Zai Lab Ltd ▶ $25.26B – 41.6x
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. ▶ $24.28B – 5.7x
GMAB Genmab A/S ▶ $23.73B 1.5x –
UTHR United Therapeutics Corp ▼ $23.16B 17.7x 3.6x
INSM Insmed Inc ▶ $21.36B – 28.2x
VTRS Viatris Inc ▶ $20.03B – –
ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S ▲ $14.97B – –
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc ▼ $13.61B 14.3x 2.8x
BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. ▶ $12.69B – –
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc ▲ $12.56B 130.6x 17.8x
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. ▶ $12.07B – 19.2x
ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc ▶ $11.27B – 1.7x
BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc ▼ $10.67B 68.9x 1.7x
RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd ▼ $10.64B – –
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▼ $10.63B – 20.3x
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc ▶ $8.82B 172.5x 10.5x
CYTK Cytokinetics Inc ▲ $8.82B – –
AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.50B – 102.0x
ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $8.25B – 17.7x
ABVX Abivax S.A. ▼ $7.68B – –
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $7.10B – 16.1x
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $6.93B – 6.3x
PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. ▲ $6.67B – 5.0x
ALKS Alkermes Plc. ▲ $6.56B 43.0x 3.6x
KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc ▼ $6.16B 86.6x 10.2x
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $6.04B 57.3x –
BLTE Belite Bio, Inc ▲ $6.01B – 7.8x
RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $5.97B – 58.0x
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc ▼ $5.88B 28.6x 6.1x
BLRX Biolinerx Ltd. ▶ $5.43B – –
MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $5.19B – –
ERAS Erasca, Inc. ▲ $5.14B – 14.2x
ORKA Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $5.08B – 4.6x
TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $5.02B – 204.8x
PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.98B – –
COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $4.88B – 9.2x
MANE Veradermics, Inc ▲ $4.74B – 5.8x
DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ ▲ $4.18B – 3.6x
INDV Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▼ $4.03B 13.8x –

Where NVO sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Pharmaceutical Preparations
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News

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock news

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FAQ

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Novo Nordisk A S outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Novo Nordisk A S stock predictions?

For NVO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Novo Nordisk A S forecasts updated?

Novo Nordisk A S forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are Novo Nordisk A S's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, NVO included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Novartis Ag (NVS), Astrazeneca Plc (AZN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.