A $20 Billion Reason Why Oracle Stock Is Down Today
Oracle stock sinks as company announces plans of issuing more stock and bonds. But should you buy the dip in ORCL shares? Let ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03
Oracle Corp (ORCL) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast
Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
22.0%
Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap
$360.49B
mega-cap · #3 of 60 peers
Summary
Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Oracle Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Oracle Corp is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $360.49B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ORCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ORCL included.
Price
ORCL price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-30
How ORCL ranks among 4891 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-08-31
Oracle Corp (ORCL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ORCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $360.49B | 3/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.69x | 31/39 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.40x | 39/51 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.65% | 2/7 |
| EPS | $6.38 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $22.08 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $23.74 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-9.50 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ORCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 28.3% | 16/45 |
| ROA | 6.2% | 25/47 |
| ROIC | 9.0% | 24/53 |
| Operating Margin | 32.1% | 8/58 |
| Net Margin | 26.4% | 9/49 |
| EBT Margin | 30.7% | 10/58 |
| Tax Rate | 12.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ORCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.17x | 38/57 |
| D/E Ratio | 3.54x | 7/52 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.54x | 7/51 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.7x | 26/46 |
| Working Capital | $8.12B | 4/57 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ORCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $46.94B | 2/58 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$28.72B | 49/49 |
| Capital Spending | -$75.66B | 48/49 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 118.0% | 7/51 |
| FCF/Sales | -40.0% | 48/49 |
| CapEx/Sales | 105.4% | 2/49 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ORCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.24x | 46/49 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.3x | 25/49 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.6x | 47/48 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 58 days | 25/49 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ORCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $71.78B | 3/52 |
| Operating Income | $23.06B | 3/58 |
| Net Income | $18.92B | 3/49 |
| R&D Expense | $10.18B | 3/58 |
| SG&A Expense | $19.32B | 3/57 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ORCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.96 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 30.7% | 3/7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 3024M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 52.1% | 10/31 |
| EPS Growth | 47.7% | 13/36 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $55.63B | 18.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $36.37B | 12.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $11.39B | 3.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $236.06B | 77.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $36.45B | 12.0% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
ORCL quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software
Oracle Corp (ORCL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Oracle Corp (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ORCL Oracle Corp | $360.49B | |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp | $3.77T | |
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | $428.53B | |
| SAP Sap Se | $287.00B | |
| CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. | $247.60B | |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | $201.00B | |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | $186.15B | |
| NET Cloudflare, Inc. | $98.68B | |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | $97.87B | |
| CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc | $89.69B | |
| SNPS Synopsys Inc | $89.32B | |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | $84.48B | |
| NTES Netease, Inc. | $73.99B | |
| ADSK Autodesk, Inc. | $53.90B | |
| VEEV Veeva Systems Inc | $49.71B | |
| TEAM Atlassian Corp | $47.36B | |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | $45.79B | |
| OKTA Okta, Inc. | $36.40B | |
| TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc | $35.92B | |
| TWLO Twilio Inc | $31.88B | |
| RBLX Roblox Corp | $30.71B | |
| CRWV Coreweave, Inc. | $27.66B | |
| MDB Mongodb, Inc. | $26.62B | |
| RBRK Rubrik, Inc. | $23.77B | |
| PTC Ptc Inc. | $21.22B | |
| SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc | $19.14B | |
| GEN Gen Digital Inc. | $17.89B | |
| NTNX Nutanix, Inc. | $17.43B | |
| TYL Tyler Technologies Inc | $16.15B | |
| CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd | $16.06B | |
| DT Dynatrace, Inc. | $15.93B | |
| MANH Manhattan Associates Inc | $14.76B | |
| GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. | $13.32B | |
| BSY Bentley Systems Inc | $12.36B | |
| PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. | $11.99B | |
| FIG Figma, Inc. | $11.83B | |
| HUBS Hubspot Inc | $11.64B | |
| SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. | $10.96B | |
| FROG Jfrog Ltd | $10.49B | |
| ESTC Elastic N.V. | $10.21B | |
| PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. | $9.33B | |
| PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp | $9.24B | |
| NTSK Netskope Inc | $8.99B | |
| GTLB Gitlab Inc. | $8.68B | |
| DBX Dropbox, Inc. | $8.18B | |
| S Sentinelone, Inc. | $8.06B | |
| APPF Appfolio Inc | $7.97B | |
| TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. | $7.91B | |
| DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc | $7.86B | |
| ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. | $7.51B | |
| GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. | $7.27B | |
| QLYS Qualys, Inc. | $7.18B | |
| PATH Uipath, Inc. | $6.95B | |
| NICE Nice Ltd. | $6.79B | |
| NAVN Navan, Inc. | $6.61B | |
| CVLT Commvault Systems Inc | $6.54B | |
| DUOL Duolingo, Inc. | $6.16B | |
| BOX Box Inc | $5.93B | |
| KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. | $5.73B | |
| OCTV Octave Intelligence Plc | $5.68B |
Where ORCL sits on the market map
Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
News
Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock news
Oracle burns entire four-year capital promise in one week, shares shed $60B
Oracle stock AI infrastructure debt: Oracle filed to raise $20 billion via stock and bonds November 2, 2026 -- five days after pledging at Investor Day that this was its entire additional capital ...
Oracle raises $20 billion for AI growth as Meta weighs new debt
Oracle Corp. sold $10 billion of bonds on Monday alongside about $9.9 billion of equity, while Meta Platforms Inc. is eyeing at least $20 billion from a potential debt offering in multiple currencies.
FAQ
Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Oracle Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Oracle Corp stock predictions?
For ORCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Oracle Corp forecasts updated?
Oracle Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.
Which companies are Oracle Corp's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, ORCL included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP), Salesforce, Inc. (CRM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.