O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks O Reilly Automotive Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
O Reilly Automotive Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $69.59B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ORLY is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How ORLY ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $69.59B | 1/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 26.26x | – |
| EPS | $3.05 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $-10.69 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.67 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.2% | 2/5 |
| ROIC | 46.5% | 2/5 |
| Gross Margin | -110.8% | 7/7 |
| Operating Margin | -42.0% | 5/7 |
| Net Margin | -30.6% | 3/5 |
| EBT Margin | -39.3% | 6/7 |
| Tax Rate | 22.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75x | 6/6 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.13x | 5/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 14.1x | 1/7 |
| Working Capital | -$2.38B | 6/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.29B | 1/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.16B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$1.13B | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 13.1% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 21.7% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -24.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | -13.1% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | -18.9x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.5x | 4/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | -1.3x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | -19 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 243 days | 2/5 |
| Payables Period | 300 days | 2/5 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -77 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | -$8.65B | 5/5 |
| Operating Income | $3.63B | 1/7 |
| Net Income | $2.65B | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $5.96B | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $8.98B | 2/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 809M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $7.20B | 41.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $262M | 1.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $458M | 2.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $5.97B | 34.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $19.22B | 110.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.19B | 12.6% of assets |
ORLY quarterly financials and insider trading
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as O Reilly Automotive Inc (Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock news
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O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks O Reilly Automotive Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are O Reilly Automotive Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ORLY is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are O Reilly Automotive Inc forecasts updated?
O Reilly Automotive Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are O Reilly Automotive Inc's industry peers?
7 issuers in our coverage, ORLY included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores. The largest are: Autozone Inc (AZO), Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP), Marinemax Inc (HZO), Carparts.Com, Inc. (PRTS), Free Flow Usa, Inc. (FFLO), Applife Digital Solutions Inc (ALDS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.