Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $12.85B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 16 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PAG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PAG included.
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How PAG ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PAG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $12.85B | 4/16 |
| P/E Ratio | 13.73x | 6/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.21x | 8/15 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% | 3/8 |
| EPS | $14.21 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $88.56 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $501.32 | – |
| FCF/Share | $9.29 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PAG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 16.1% | 8/13 |
| ROA | 5.1% | 6/14 |
| ROIC | 10.5% | 10/12 |
| Gross Margin | 16.1% | 10/14 |
| Operating Margin | 3.8% | 10/13 |
| Net Margin | 2.8% | 7/14 |
| EBT Margin | 3.9% | 6/17 |
| Tax Rate | 26.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PAG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.98x | 11/15 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.21x | 11/14 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.18x | 11/17 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.18x | 11/17 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.5x | 6/13 |
| Working Capital | -$164M | 13/15 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PAG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $922M | 6/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | $610M | 5/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$312M | 7/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -4.1% | 7/13 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -5.7% | 6/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 1.9% | 9/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.9% | 9/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PAG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.78x | 5/15 |
| Receivables Turnover | 31.0x | 9/12 |
| Inventory Turnover | 5.4x | 10/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 10.0x | 3/15 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 12 days | 4/12 |
| Days Inventory | 68 days | 4/13 |
| Payables Period | 12 days | 7/11 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 67 days | 4/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PAG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $32.92B | 2/14 |
| Operating Income | $1.24B | 5/14 |
| Net Income | $936M | 3/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $3.88B | 2/12 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $27.61B | 2/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PAG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $5.55 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 39.1% | 2/7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 66M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $6.51B | 35.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $70M | 0.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.06B | 5.7% of assets |
| Inventory | $5.11B | 27.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $12.65B | 68.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $5.76B | 31.2% of assets |
PAG quarterly financials and insider trading
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | ▲ | $12.85B |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | ▲ | $66.46B |
| CPRT Copart Inc | ▶ | $24.41B |
| CASY Caseys General Stores Inc | ▶ | $23.72B |
| MUSA Murphy Usa Inc. | ▼ | $9.62B |
| KMX Carmax Inc | ▲ | $7.21B |
| LAD Lithia Motors Inc | ▲ | $6.30B |
| RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc \Tx\ | ▶ | $5.19B |
| AN Autonation, Inc. | ▶ | $5.13B |
| OPLN Openlane, Inc. | ▼ | $4.60B |
| ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc | ▶ | $2.94B |
| GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc | ▶ | $2.76B |
| SAH Sonic Automotive Inc | ▲ | $1.93B |
| CWH Camping World Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $460M |
| VRM Vroom, Inc. | ▲ | $47M |
| CRMT Americas Carmart Inc | ▲ | $11M |
| KXIN Kaixin Holdings | ▶ | N/A |
| NXXT Nextnrg, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
Where PAG sits on the market map
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) stock news
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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Penske Automotive Group, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PAG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Penske Automotive Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Penske Automotive Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, PAG included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations. The largest are: Carvana Co. (CVNA), Copart Inc (CPRT), Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY), Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA), Carmax Inc (KMX), Lithia Motors Inc (LAD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.