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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Paychex Inc (PAYX) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $37.79B large-cap
Summary

Paychex Inc (PAYX) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, PAYX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Paychex Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $37.79B.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PAYX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PAYX included.

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Price

PAYX price chart and AI forecast

PAYX
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How PAYX ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Paychex Inc (PAYX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPAYXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $37.79B – –
P/E Ratio 20.93x – –
P/B Ratio 10.20x – –
Dividend Yield 4.30% – –
EPS $5.04 – –
Book Value/Share $10.42 – –
Revenue/Share $18.56 – –
FCF/Share $5.67 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPAYXIndustry medianRank
ROE 48.7% – –
ROA 11.5% – –
ROIC 27.8% – –
Gross Margin 74.4% – –
Operating Margin 39.2% – –
Net Margin 27.4% – –
EBT Margin 36.0% – –
Tax Rate 24.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricPAYXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.28x – –
D/E Ratio 3.23x – –
Financial Leverage 4.23x – –
Interest Coverage 2.3x – –
Working Capital $1.75B – –

Cash Flow

MetricPAYXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.25B – –
Free Cash Flow $2.02B – –
Capital Spending -$235M – –
OCF Growth YoY 8.6% – –
FCF Growth YoY 8.4% – –
FCF/Sales 30.5% – –
CapEx/Sales 3.6% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricPAYXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.42x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.7x – –
Payables Period 31 days – –

Income Statement

MetricPAYXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.60B – –
Operating Income $2.59B – –
Net Income $1.81B – –
SG&A Expense $2.32B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $1.69B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPAYXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.57 – –
Payout Ratio 90.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 356M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$8.09B51.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$601M3.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$11.96B76.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$6.20B39.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PAYX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management

Paychex Inc (PAYX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Paychex Inc (Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PAYX Paychex Inc ▶ $37.79B 20.9x 10.2x
FORR Forrester Research, Inc. ▲ $226M – 1.9x

Where PAYX sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management
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News

Paychex Inc (PAYX) stock news

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FAQ

Paychex Inc (PAYX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Paychex Inc (PAYX) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, PAYX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Paychex Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PAYX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Paychex Inc forecasts updated?

Paychex Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Paychex Inc's industry peers?

2 issuers in our coverage, PAYX included, share the SEC industry code Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management. The largest are: Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.