Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock May Be 42% Undervalued As Strike Risks Loom
Phillips 66 has delivered a powerful run, and at a recent price of US$281.47 the question for investors is whether that ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14
Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$116.81B
large-cap · #5 of 13 peers
Summary
Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, PSX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Phillips 66 is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $116.81B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 13 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PSX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PSX included.
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PSX price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How PSX ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Phillips 66 (PSX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $116.81B | 5/13 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.47x | 6/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.71x | 5/10 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.70% | 4/8 |
| EPS | $17.01 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $78.96 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $299.80 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 22.5% | 2/8 |
| ROA | 8.7% | 3/9 |
| Gross Margin | -10.5% | 7/10 |
| Net Margin | 5.9% | 4/9 |
Financial Health
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.32x | 6/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.00x | 3/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.56x | 5/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.60x | 5/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.0x | 4/8 |
| Working Capital | $5.87B | 5/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $8.93B | 5/11 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 165.5% | 3/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.46x | 4/11 |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.2x | 6/10 |
| Inventory Turnover | 22.3x | 1/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.0x | 5/11 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 36 days | 5/10 |
| Days Inventory | 16 days | 10/10 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $119.63B | 3/11 |
| Net Income | $7.09B | 3/9 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.41B | 3/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $132.24B | 2/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.97 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 29.2% | 4/8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 399M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $24.22B | 29.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $4.10B | 5.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $11.72B | 14.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $5.92B | 7.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $49.11B | 60.0% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
PSX quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining
Phillips 66 (PSX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Phillips 66 (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PSX Phillips 66 | ▶ | $116.81B |
| CVX Chevron Corp | ▶ | $430.18B |
| COP Conocophillips | ▶ | $169.27B |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp | ▶ | $133.95B |
| VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx | ▲ | $131.43B |
| EQNR Equinor Asa | ▶ | $112.56B |
| IMO Imperial Oil Ltd | ▼ | $62.35B |
| YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima | ▶ | $20.37B |
| PBF Pbf Energy Inc. | ▲ | $10.81B |
| CVI Cvr Energy Inc | ▲ | $6.35B |
| DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.94B |
| IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. | ▶ | $4.77B |
| SUNC Sunococorp Llc | ▲ | $3.89B |
| BP Bp Plc | ▼ | N/A |
| SUN Sunoco Lp | ▲ | N/A |
Where PSX sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
News
Phillips 66 (PSX) stock news
Phillips 66: Missing A Premium Valuation
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Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) union employees at the Bayway Refinery have voted overwhelmingly to authorize a strike amid contract ...
FAQ
Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, PSX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Phillips 66 stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PSX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Phillips 66 forecasts updated?
Phillips 66 forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Phillips 66's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, PSX included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR), Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.