Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (PVLA) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (PVLA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.80B. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PVLA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.4%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.4% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)
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How PVLA ranks among 5111 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (PVLA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PVLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.80B | 60/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 8.30x | 19/41 |
| EPS | $-5.57 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $14.77 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PVLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -28.4% | 26/36 |
| ROA | -24.3% | 31/41 |
| ROIC | -23.9% | 32/44 |
| Tax Rate | 0.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PVLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 21.18x | 7/56 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.17x | 37/46 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.17x | 38/46 |
| Interest Coverage | -24.0x | 28/35 |
| Working Capital | $241M | 47/56 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PVLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$37M | 37/56 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PVLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | -$58M | 28/48 |
| Net Income | -$62M | 25/43 |
| R&D Expense | $35M | 54/55 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PVLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 15M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $253M | 99.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $188M | 74.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $37M | 14.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $5M | 2.0% of assets |
PVLA quarterly financials and insider trading
Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (PVLA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PVLA Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $1.80B |
| LLY Eli Lilly & Co | ▶ | $1.14T |
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson | ▼ | $611.90B |
| ABBV Abbvie Inc. | ▶ | $500.75B |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | ▶ | $363.59B |
| NVS Novartis Ag | ▼ | $280.27B |
| AZN Astrazeneca Plc | ▼ | $258.35B |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | ▼ | $182.04B |
| NVO Novo Nordisk A S | ▼ | $169.41B |
| PFE Pfizer Inc | ▼ | $166.49B |
| VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma | ▼ | $126.35B |
| BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co | ▶ | $123.73B |
| SNY Sanofi | ▼ | $98.05B |
| GSK Gsk Plc | ▼ | $96.58B |
| REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $80.48B |
| TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd | ▶ | $47.45B |
| ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. | ▲ | $39.96B |
| RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc | ▲ | $33.92B |
| ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $31.32B |
| ZTS Zoetis Inc. | ▼ | $31.11B |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd | ▶ | $30.24B |
| ATHE Alterity Therapeutics Ltd | ▶ | $25.65B |
| ZLAB Zai Lab Ltd | ▶ | $25.26B |
| ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. | ▲ | $24.28B |
| GMAB Genmab A/S | ▶ | $23.73B |
| UTHR United Therapeutics Corp | ▼ | $23.16B |
| INSM Insmed Inc | ▶ | $21.36B |
| VTRS Viatris Inc | ▶ | $20.03B |
| ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S | ▲ | $14.94B |
| JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc | ▼ | $13.61B |
| BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. | ▶ | $13.12B |
| CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc | ▲ | $12.26B |
| SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. | ▶ | $12.07B |
| ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc | ▼ | $11.27B |
| BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc | ▶ | $10.85B |
| RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd | ▼ | $10.64B |
| MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $10.63B |
| CYTK Cytokinetics Inc | ▲ | $8.89B |
| PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc | ▶ | $8.82B |
| AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $8.47B |
| ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $8.26B |
| ABVX Abivax S.A. | ▼ | $7.26B |
| IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc | ▲ | $7.10B |
| SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $6.93B |
| ALKS Alkermes Plc. | ▲ | $6.73B |
| PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. | ▲ | $6.67B |
| KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc | ▼ | $6.16B |
| AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $6.15B |
| BLTE Belite Bio, Inc | ▲ | $6.00B |
| RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $5.97B |
| LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc | ▶ | $5.88B |
| BLRX Biolinerx Ltd. | ▶ | $5.43B |
| MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $5.19B |
| ERAS Erasca, Inc. | ▲ | $5.14B |
| COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | ▶ | $5.12B |
| ORKA Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $5.08B |
| TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $5.02B |
| PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $4.98B |
| MANE Veradermics, Inc | ▲ | $4.74B |
| DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ | ▲ | $4.18B |
Where PVLA sits on the market map
Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (PVLA) stock news
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Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (PVLA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. (PVLA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. stock predictions?
For PVLA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. forecasts updated?
Palvella Therapeutics, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.
Which companies are Palvella Therapeutics, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, PVLA included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Novartis Ag (NVS), Astrazeneca Plc (AZN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.