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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $5.93B mid-cap · #3 of 8 peers
Summary

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.93B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 8 Retail-Grocery Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 38.7% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SFM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SFM included.

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Price

SFM price chart and AI forecast

SFM
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How SFM ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Grocery Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSFMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.93B $1.57B 3/8
P/E Ratio 11.79x – –
P/B Ratio 3.95x 2.91x 2/7
EPS $5.23 – –
Book Value/Share $16.10 – –
Revenue/Share $96.56 – –
FCF/Share $3.83 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSFMIndustry medianRank
ROE 33.5% 8.5% 1/6
ROA 11.6% 4.9% 1/6
ROIC 18.9% 7.2% 1/9
Gross Margin 38.7% 27.0% 1/9
Operating Margin 7.4% 2.5% 1/8
Net Margin 5.6% 2.0% 1/6
EBT Margin 7.5% 2.5% 1/8
Tax Rate 25.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricSFMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.99x 1.12x 7/10
Quick Ratio 0.43x 0.43x 5/9
D/E Ratio 1.89x 2.28x 6/10
Financial Leverage 2.89x 2.88x 5/10
Interest Coverage 408.9x 7.7x 2/9
Working Capital -$6M $22M 8/10

Cash Flow

MetricSFMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $675M $241M 3/9
Free Cash Flow $357M $102M 3/8
Capital Spending -$318M -$188M 6/8
OCF Growth YoY -9.3% -5.0% 7/9
FCF Growth YoY -29.0% -8.2% 4/6
FCF/Sales 4.0% 1.5% 1/8
CapEx/Sales 3.5% 3.2% 4/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricSFMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.08x 2.20x 5/8
Receivables Turnover 137.4x 80.7x 2/7
Inventory Turnover 12.6x 12.6x 4/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.6x 6.3x 2/8
Days Sales Outstanding 3 days 5 days 6/7
Days Inventory 29 days 29 days 4/7
Payables Period 18 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 14 days – –

Income Statement

MetricSFMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9.00B $5.24B 3/8
Operating Income $669M $123M 2/9
Net Income $502M $74M 1/6
SG&A Expense $2.65B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $5.52B $4.09B 3/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSFMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 93M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$771M17.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$224M5.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$66M1.5% of assets
Inventory$437M10.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.83B65.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$505M11.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SFM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Grocery Stores

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (Retail-Grocery Stores): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. ▼ $5.93B 11.8x 4.0x
KR Kroger Co ▼ $37.21B 34.3x 5.4x
ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. ▶ $6.18B 94.0x 3.4x
WMK Weis Markets Inc ▶ $1.81B 18.6x 1.3x
YSWY Yesway, Inc. ▶ $1.34B – –
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ▲ $1.22B – 1.5x
NGVC Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ▼ $697M – 2.9x
MSS Maison Solutions Inc. ▲ $950K – 0.1x
ASAIY Sendas Distributor S.A. ▶ N/A – –
IMKTA Ingles Markets Inc ▶ N/A – –
VLGEA Village Super Market Inc ▶ N/A – –

Where SFM sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Grocery Stores
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News

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) stock news

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FAQ

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SFM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. forecasts updated?

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s industry peers?

11 issuers in our coverage, SFM included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Grocery Stores. The largest are: Kroger Co (KR), Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI), Weis Markets Inc (WMK), Yesway, Inc. (YSWY), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO), Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.