Semtech Corp (SMTC) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Semtech Corp (SMTC) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Semtech Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Semtech Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $11.33B. It ranks number 28 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SMTC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.3%, sell < +1.7%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SMTC included.
SMTC price chart and AI forecast
How SMTC ranks among 4891 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Semtech Corp (SMTC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SMTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $11.33B | 28/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 19.76x | 5/57 |
| EPS | $-0.41 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.19 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $11.78 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.87 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SMTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -6.3% | 42/46 |
| ROA | -2.5% | 40/45 |
| ROIC | 1.9% | 39/54 |
| Gross Margin | 51.6% | 24/57 |
| Operating Margin | 2.0% | 41/57 |
| Net Margin | -3.2% | 39/46 |
| EBT Margin | -2.0% | 44/57 |
| Tax Rate | -51.6% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | SMTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.37x | 40/56 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.62x | 42/54 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.51x | 9/59 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.51x | 9/57 |
| Interest Coverage | 33.7x | 13/45 |
| Working Capital | $375M | 49/56 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SMTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $190M | 32/57 |
| Free Cash Flow | $173M | 26/52 |
| Capital Spending | -$16M | 8/52 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 120.6% | 3/45 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 35.7% | 14/41 |
| FCF/Sales | 15.9% | 22/52 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.5% | 48/52 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SMTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.76x | 7/54 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.2x | 25/51 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.6x | 24/53 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 10.2x | 16/53 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 59 days | 26/51 |
| Days Inventory | 142 days | 30/53 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SMTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.09B | 34/56 |
| Operating Income | $22M | 39/57 |
| Net Income | -$36M | 40/46 |
| R&D Expense | $206M | 31/55 |
| SG&A Expense | $242M | 28/56 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $528M | 35/57 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SMTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 93M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -250.6% | 28/29 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $649M | 45.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $163M | 11.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $175M | 12.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $205M | 14.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $866M | 60.2% of assets |
SMTC quarterly financials and insider trading
Semtech Corp (SMTC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Semtech Corp (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SMTC Semtech Corp | $11.33B | |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp | $4.87T | |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | $1.54T | |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc | $762.10B | |
| INTC Intel Corp | $302.49B | |
| AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De | $297.23B | |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc | $275.82B | |
| ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk | $244.33B | |
| ADI Analog Devices Inc | $200.05B | |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | $191.46B | |
| ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | $86.22B | |
| NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. | $64.74B | |
| MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $61.13B | |
| ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. | $44.88B | |
| STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. | $41.54B | |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Inc | $41.33B | |
| CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | $28.38B | |
| ON On Semiconductor Corp | $27.90B | |
| Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. | $24.14B | |
| GFS Globalfoundries Inc. | $23.23B | |
| CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. | $22.89B | |
| FSLR First Solar, Inc. | $19.01B | |
| MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. | $17.90B | |
| TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd | $17.42B | |
| NXT Nextpower Inc. | $13.83B | |
| LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp | $13.56B | |
| SITM Sitime Corp | $13.15B | |
| SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. | $12.82B | |
| AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. | $9.76B | |
| RMBS Rambus Inc | $9.04B | |
| VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. | $8.22B | |
| SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. | $7.41B | |
| FORM Formfactor Inc | $6.82B | |
| AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | $6.70B | |
| MXL Maxlinear, Inc | $6.14B | |
| ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. | $5.99B | |
| CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. | $5.59B | |
| SYNA Synaptics Inc | $4.59B | |
| KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc | $3.73B | |
| DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ | $3.67B | |
| ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | $3.65B | |
| AXTI Axt Inc | $3.61B | |
| OSIS Osi Systems Inc | $3.17B | |
| IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp | $3.10B | |
| PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. | $2.86B | |
| AMBA Ambarella Inc | $2.72B | |
| NLST Netlist Inc | $2.60B | |
| POWI Power Integrations Inc | $2.45B | |
| UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. | $2.12B | |
| LASR Nlight, Inc. | $2.06B | |
| NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp | $1.87B | |
| SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. | $1.86B | |
| HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. | $1.82B | |
| PLAB Photronics Inc | $1.63B | |
| ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. | $1.38B | |
| SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. | $1.28B | |
| WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. | $1.10B | |
| AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. | $1.05B | |
| AIP Arteris, Inc. | $924M | |
| TE T1 Energy Inc. | $842M |
Where SMTC sits on the market map
Semtech Corp (SMTC) stock news
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Semtech Corp (SMTC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Semtech Corp (SMTC) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Semtech Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Semtech Corp stock predictions?
For SMTC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Semtech Corp forecasts updated?
Semtech Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.
Which companies are Semtech Corp's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, SMTC included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.