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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-30

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM) Stock Forecast Oct. 30, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 30, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -27.0% Spearman, 292 dates
Market Cap $244.33B mega-cap · #7 of 60 peers
Summary

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Arm Holdings Plc /Uk every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $244.33B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 97.5% is the highest of the 57 peers that report one.

For ARM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -27.0%, measured on 292 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-07-31 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -6.0%, measured on 335 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-09-30. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ARM included.

Price

ARM price chart and AI forecast

ARM
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How ARM ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricARMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $244.33B $8.63B 7/60
P/E Ratio 233.44x 42.97x 4/40
P/B Ratio 28.31x 4.94x 2/57
EPS $0.98 – –
Book Value/Share $8.08 – –
Revenue/Share $4.83 – –
FCF/Share $1.41 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricARMIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.1% 12.3% 25/47
ROA 9.3% 6.6% 17/46
ROIC 8.8% 6.9% 26/54
Gross Margin 97.5% 46.4% 1/57
Operating Margin 17.0% 9.6% 19/57
Net Margin 20.2% 12.8% 15/47
EBT Margin 24.5% 9.5% 17/57
Tax Rate 17.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricARMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 5.25x 3.13x 15/56
D/E Ratio 0.30x 0.44x 37/59
Financial Leverage 1.30x 1.44x 38/57
Working Capital $5.13B $1.12B 11/56

Cash Flow

MetricARMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.09B $250M 12/57
Free Cash Flow $1.51B $158M 11/52
Capital Spending -$588M -$60M 42/52
OCF Growth YoY 105.5% 26.5% 5/45
FCF Growth YoY 123.1% 5.8% 5/41
FCF/Sales 29.2% 13.4% 7/52
CapEx/Sales 11.4% 4.3% 10/52

Operational Efficiency

MetricARMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.46x 0.56x 39/54
Receivables Turnover 4.6x 6.2x 42/51
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.6x 5.6x 27/53
Days Sales Outstanding 79 days 59 days 10/51

Income Statement

MetricARMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.16B $1.27B 14/56
Operating Income $877M $166M 15/57
Net Income $1.04B $266M 12/47
R&D Expense $2.96B $219M 6/55
SG&A Expense $1.17B $238M 9/56
Cost of Goods Sold $127M $662M 53/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricARMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1068M – –
Net Income Growth 49.4% 41.0% 14/29
EPS Growth 48.5% 44.7% 16/32

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$6.34B56.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3.06B27.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.12B10.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.57B22.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ARM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Semiconductors & Related Devices

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk $244.33B 233.4x 28.3x
NVDA Nvidia Corp $4.87T 23.3x 21.3x
AVGO Broadcom Inc. $1.54T 41.1x 15.4x
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc $762.10B 133.8x 11.3x
INTC Intel Corp $302.49B – 2.6x
AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De $297.23B 32.3x 11.6x
TXN Texas Instruments Inc $275.82B 39.1x 14.4x
ADI Analog Devices Inc $200.05B 44.8x 6.0x
MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. $191.46B 68.7x 10.3x
ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. $86.22B – –
NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. $64.74B 20.2x 5.4x
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. $61.13B 75.7x 15.7x
ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. $44.88B 147.0x 26.0x
STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. $41.54B 17.8x 2.3x
MCHP Microchip Technology Inc $41.33B 111.9x 6.4x
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd $28.38B 53.2x 10.4x
ON On Semiconductor Corp $27.90B 45.1x 3.9x
Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. $24.14B 29.7x 3.3x
GFS Globalfoundries Inc. $23.23B 14.8x –
CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. $22.89B – 2.5x
FSLR First Solar, Inc. $19.01B 10.2x 1.8x
MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. $17.90B 91.9x 11.6x
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd $17.42B 23.8x 6.0x
NXT Nextpower Inc. $13.83B 22.9x 5.2x
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp $13.56B 681.7x 17.2x
SITM Sitime Corp $13.15B 617.9x 12.8x
SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. $12.82B 72.8x 2.2x
SMTC Semtech Corp $11.33B – 19.8x
AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. $9.76B 16.1x 2.0x
RMBS Rambus Inc $9.04B 34.4x 6.4x
VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. $8.22B – 5.7x
SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. $7.41B – 6.8x
FORM Formfactor Inc $6.82B 68.2x 6.1x
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. $6.70B – 4.0x
MXL Maxlinear, Inc $6.14B – 11.5x
ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. $5.99B 3215.0x 6.0x
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $5.59B 13.6x 2.6x
SYNA Synaptics Inc $4.59B – 4.9x
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc $3.73B 63.0x 4.1x
DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ $3.67B 55.4x 1.9x
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. $3.65B 29.1x 2.9x
AXTI Axt Inc $3.61B – 4.1x
OSIS Osi Systems Inc $3.17B 21.4x 4.1x
IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp $3.10B 105.7x 1.5x
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. $2.86B 18.3x 5.5x
AMBA Ambarella Inc $2.72B – 4.4x
NLST Netlist Inc $2.60B – 112.2x
POWI Power Integrations Inc $2.45B 81.2x 3.6x
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. $2.12B 69.9x 2.9x
LASR Nlight, Inc. $2.06B – 4.7x
NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp $1.87B – 4.8x
SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. $1.86B – 4.5x
HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. $1.82B – –
PLAB Photronics Inc $1.63B 9.4x 1.3x
ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. $1.38B – 1.6x
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. $1.28B 40.0x 2.1x
WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. $1.10B – 1.2x
AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. $1.05B 3.1x 2.6x
AIP Arteris, Inc. $924M – 13.7x
TE T1 Energy Inc. $842M – 4.2x

Where ARM sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Semiconductors & Related Devices
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News

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM) stock news

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FAQ

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Arm Holdings Plc /Uk every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Arm Holdings Plc /Uk stock predictions?

For ARM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -27.0%, measured on 292 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-07-31 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -6.0%, measured on 335 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-09-30. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Arm Holdings Plc /Uk forecasts updated?

Arm Holdings Plc /Uk forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 30, 2026.

Which companies are Arm Holdings Plc /Uk's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, ARM included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.