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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Sndl Inc. (SNDL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -29.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $322M small-cap · #5 of 29 peers
Summary

Sndl Inc. (SNDL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, SNDL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Sndl Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $322M. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 29 Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SNDL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

SNDL price chart and AI forecast

SNDL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How SNDL ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Sndl Inc. (SNDL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricSNDLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $322M $30M 5/29
Revenue/Share $7.90 – –
FCF/Share $0.06 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSNDLIndustry medianRank
ROE -47.1% -33.7% 14/16
ROA -38.8% -13.1% 19/25
ROIC -36.9% -1.9% 18/21
Gross Margin 22.5% 37.0% 19/23
Operating Margin -16.2% -14.0% 14/24
Net Margin -18.3% -17.4% 13/22
EBT Margin -17.6% -14.2% 15/25

Financial Health

MetricSNDLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.88x 1.46x 5/29
Quick Ratio 3.50x 0.70x 4/26
D/E Ratio 0.21x 0.60x 15/17
Financial Leverage 1.21x 1.60x 15/17
Working Capital $260M $10M 5/29

Cash Flow

MetricSNDLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $37M -$490K 3/30
Free Cash Flow $14M $9M 5/12
Capital Spending -$23M -$7M 10/12
FCF/Sales 0.7% 3.3% 8/12
CapEx/Sales 1.1% 1.9% 9/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricSNDLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.12x 0.99x 2/17
Fixed Assets Turnover 18.7x 3.0x 5/17

Income Statement

MetricSNDLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.03B $174M 1/18
Operating Income -$328M -$2M 28/28
Net Income -$372M -$2M 24/25
R&D Expense $1M $5M 6/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSNDLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 258M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Total Current Assets$328M33.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$184M18.9% of assets
Inventory$92M9.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$171M17.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SNDL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products

Sndl Inc. (SNDL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sndl Inc. (Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SNDL Sndl Inc. ▶ $322M – –
DFTX Definium Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.31B – 4.7x
TRLV Trulieve Cannabis Corp. ▲ $1.93B – 2.5x
CRON Cronos Group Inc. ▶ $1.18B 18.9x 1.1x
TLRY Tilray Brands, Inc. ▼ $414M – 0.3x
CGC Canopy Growth Corp ▶ $302M – 0.6x
GLAS Glass House Brands Inc. ▼ $301M – 4.1x
USNA Usana Health Sciences Inc ▼ $287M – 0.6x
ACB Aurora Cannabis Inc ▶ $253M – –
NAGE Niagen Bioscience, Inc. ▶ $197M 14.7x 2.4x
MDWD Mediwound Ltd. ▶ $152M – –
AAWH Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. ▲ $80M – –
FTLF Fitlife Brands, Inc. ▲ $79M 12.9x 1.7x
BTMD Biote Corp. ▲ $35M 2.7x –
RAPH Raphael Pharmaceutical Inc. ▼ $30M 25.2x –
CHUC Charlie's Holdings, Inc. ▼ $27M – 8.7x
MRMD Marimed Inc. ▲ $24M – 0.5x
CFOO China Foods Holdings Ltd. ▼ $21M – –
MTEX Mannatech Inc ▲ $14M 5.8x –
ADIA Adia Med, Inc. ▲ $13M – –
GLUC Glucose Health, Inc. ▼ $9M – –
NAII Natural Alternatives International Inc ▲ $7M – 0.1x
BON Bon Natural Life Ltd ▶ $7M – –
PLSH Panacea Life Sciences Holdings, Inc. ▲ $6M – –
CYAN Cyanotech Corp ▲ $5M – 0.6x
IMCC Im Cannabis Corp. ▼ $2M – –
AIBT Aibotics, Inc. ▼ $2M – –
NPHC Nutra Pharma Corp ▼ $720K – –
MEHA Functional Brands Inc. ▼ $290K – –
CBDY Target Group Inc. ▼ N/A – –
HYEX Healthy Extracts Inc. ▶ N/A – –
NTRR Neutra Corp. ▼ N/A – –
SNYRQ Synergy Chc Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where SNDL sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products
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News

Sndl Inc. (SNDL) stock news

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FAQ

Sndl Inc. (SNDL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sndl Inc. (SNDL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, SNDL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Sndl Inc. stock predictions?

For SNDL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sndl Inc. forecasts updated?

Sndl Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Sndl Inc.'s industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, SNDL included, share the SEC industry code Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products. The largest are: Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX), Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV), Cronos Group Inc. (CRON), Tilray Brands, Inc. (TLRY), Canopy Growth Corp (CGC), Glass House Brands Inc. (GLAS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.