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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $61.49B large-cap · #1 of 9 peers
Summary

Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, TDG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.

Transdigm Group Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $61.49B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 9 Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 59.6% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TDG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TDG included.

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Price

TDG price chart and AI forecast

TDG
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How TDG ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTDGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $61.49B $2.71B 1/9
P/E Ratio 28.88x – –
Dividend Yield 14.33% – –
EPS $32.96 – –
Revenue/Share $181.05 – –
FCF/Share $34.86 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTDGIndustry medianRank
ROA 8.0% 2.9% 3/7
ROIC 19.1% 7.3% 2/7
Gross Margin 59.6% 32.3% 1/9
Operating Margin 46.0% 17.0% 1/9
Net Margin 21.3% 10.2% 1/7
EBT Margin 27.4% 8.4% 1/9
Tax Rate 22.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricTDGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.02x 3.46x 6/8
Quick Ratio 2.01x 2.81x 6/8
Interest Coverage 2.4x 2.4x 5/9
Working Capital $5.20B $322M 1/7

Cash Flow

MetricTDGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.20B $60M 1/8
Free Cash Flow $1.93B – –
Capital Spending -$271M – –
OCF Growth YoY 4.5% 75.2% 5/6
FCF Growth YoY 1.1% – –
FCF/Sales 19.2% – –
CapEx/Sales 2.7% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricTDGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.37x 0.47x 4/5
Receivables Turnover 5.5x 5.5x 2/5
Inventory Turnover 1.6x 3.1x 7/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.8x 6.7x 4/5
Days Sales Outstanding 66 days 66 days 4/5
Days Inventory 233 days 119 days 2/8
Payables Period 39 days 39 days 4/8
Cash Conversion Cycle 260 days 178 days 1/5

Income Statement

MetricTDGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $10.01B $861M 1/5
Operating Income $4.61B $112M 1/8
Net Income $2.13B $68M 1/7
SG&A Expense $1.11B $157M 1/6
Cost of Goods Sold $4.05B $479M 2/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTDGIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $159.36 – –
Payout Ratio 483.5% – –
Shares Outstanding 55M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$7.77B29.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.77B10.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.82B6.8% of assets
Inventory$2.59B9.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$36.47B136.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.14B8.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TDG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC

Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Transdigm Group Inc (Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TDG Transdigm Group Inc ▶ $61.49B 28.9x –
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd ▶ $31.01B – 7.5x
LOAR Loar Holdings Inc. ▶ $5.79B 85.2x 4.8x
KRMN Karman Holdings Inc. ▲ $4.00B – 9.5x
ATRO Astronics Corp ▶ $2.71B 34.3x 10.6x
DCO Ducommun Inc /De/ ▶ $2.55B – 3.7x
PKE Park Aerospace Corp ▶ $592M – 3.6x
AIRI Air Industries Group ▲ $12M – 0.7x
PRZO Parazero Technologies Ltd. ▲ $11M – –

Where TDG sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC
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News

Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock news

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FAQ

Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, TDG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Transdigm Group Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TDG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Transdigm Group Inc forecasts updated?

Transdigm Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Transdigm Group Inc's industry peers?

9 issuers in our coverage, TDG included, share the SEC industry code Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT), Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR), Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN), Astronics Corp (ATRO), Ducommun Inc /De/ (DCO), Park Aerospace Corp (PKE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.