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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · OTC

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $21M small-cap · #9 of 13 peers
Summary

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, TRCK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.

Track Group, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $21M. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 13 Communications Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TRCK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

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Price

TRCK price chart and AI forecast

TRCK
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How TRCK ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $21M $69M 9/13
P/B Ratio 1.26x 1.44x 7/11
EPS $-0.72 – –
Book Value/Share $0.40 – –
Revenue/Share $0.88 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
ROIC 5.0% 2.7% 6/13
Gross Margin 47.9% 47.9% 7/13
Operating Margin 4.9% -4.2% 4/13
EBT Margin 59.8% -4.1% 1/14
Tax Rate 0.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.94x 1.76x 6/14
Quick Ratio 1.86x 1.30x 5/13
D/E Ratio 1.62x 0.73x 2/12
Financial Leverage 2.62x 1.73x 2/12
Interest Coverage 1.2x 0.2x 5/14
Working Capital $7M $11M 9/14

Cash Flow

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6M -$20K 6/15
OCF Growth YoY -10.3% 19.6% 6/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.85x 0.49x 3/12
Receivables Turnover 7.8x 4.6x 2/9
Inventory Turnover 31.0x 2.9x 1/13
Days Sales Outstanding 47 days 79 days 8/9
Days Inventory 12 days 125 days 13/13
Payables Period 104 days 84 days 4/10
Cash Conversion Cycle -46 days 50 days 8/8

Income Statement

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $36M $110M 8/12
Operating Income $1M -$2M 6/14
R&D Expense $3M $13M 10/13
SG&A Expense $12M $32M 10/13
Cost of Goods Sold $19M $22M 9/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 41M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$14M32.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$8M19.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$5M10.9% of assets
Inventory$610K1.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$26M61.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$2M4.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TRCK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Communications Equipment, NEC

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Track Group, Inc. (Communications Equipment, NEC): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TRCK Track Group, Inc. ▶ $21M – 1.3x
LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. ▶ $88.62B – 19.1x
ESE Esco Technologies Inc ▼ $6.75B 21.4x 4.2x
NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc ▲ $1.29B 30.1x 6.8x
AIOT Powerfleet, Inc. ▼ $361M – 0.8x
RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. ▲ $96M – 1.5x
AMPG Amplitech Group, Inc. ▲ $80M – 1.7x
INSG Inseego Corp. ▲ $69M – –
REKR Rekor Systems, Inc. ▼ $49M – 1.4x
KSCP Knightscope, Inc. ▲ $14M – 0.5x
MTEK Maris Tech Ltd. ▲ $4M – 1.2x
IWAL Iwallet Corp ▼ $2M – –
ASNS Actelis Networks Inc ▼ $1M – 0.2x
TBCH Turtle Beach Corp ▲ N/A – –
VISL Vislink Technologies, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where TRCK sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Communications Equipment, NEC
Explore the map →
News

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock news

source: streetinsider

NAPERVILLE, Ill., Dec. 23, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Track Group, Inc. (OTCQB: TRCK), a global leader in offender tracking and monitoring services, today announced financial results for its fiscal year ...

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FAQ

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, TRCK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Track Group, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TRCK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Track Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Track Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Track Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, TRCK included, share the SEC industry code Communications Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), Esco Technologies Inc (ESE), Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC), Powerfleet, Inc. (AIOT), George Risk Industries, Inc. (RSKIA), Amplitech Group, Inc. (AMPG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.