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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $17.56B large-cap
Summary

Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Tractor Supply Co /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Tractor Supply Co /De/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $17.56B.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TSCO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TSCO included.

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Price

TSCO price chart and AI forecast

TSCO
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How TSCO ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTSCOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $17.56B – –
P/E Ratio 17.35x – –
P/B Ratio 6.67x – –
Dividend Yield 2.82% – –
EPS $1.94 – –
Book Value/Share $5.05 – –
Revenue/Share $30.23 – –
FCF/Share $0.59 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTSCOIndustry medianRank
ROE 38.5% – –
ROA 8.3% – –
ROIC 14.9% – –
Gross Margin 36.5% – –
Operating Margin 8.5% – –
Net Margin 6.4% – –
EBT Margin 8.1% – –
Tax Rate 20.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricTSCOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.33x – –
Quick Ratio 0.23x – –
D/E Ratio 3.62x – –
Financial Leverage 4.62x – –
Interest Coverage 15.4x – –
Working Capital $1.06B – –

Cash Flow

MetricTSCOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.29B – –
Free Cash Flow $307M – –
Capital Spending -$979M – –
OCF Growth YoY -19.9% – –
FCF Growth YoY -62.6% – –
FCF/Sales 1.9% – –
CapEx/Sales 6.2% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricTSCOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.30x – –
Inventory Turnover 2.8x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.9x – –
Days Inventory 128 days – –
Payables Period 64 days – –

Income Statement

MetricTSCOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $15.75B – –
Operating Income $1.34B – –
Net Income $1.01B – –
SG&A Expense $3.83B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $10.01B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTSCOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.95 – –
Payout Ratio 49.0% – –
Shares Outstanding 521M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$4.25B35.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$232M1.9% of assets
Inventory$3.52B28.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$9.53B78.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.43B11.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TSCO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply

Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tractor Supply Co /De/ (Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TSCO Tractor Supply Co /De/ ▼ $17.56B 17.4x 6.7x
FAST Fastenal Co ▲ $59.02B 43.7x 14.5x
GRWG Growgeneration Corp. ▲ $88M – 1.0x

Where TSCO sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
Explore the map →
News

Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock news

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FAQ

Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Tractor Supply Co /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Tractor Supply Co /De/ stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TSCO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Tractor Supply Co /De/ forecasts updated?

Tractor Supply Co /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Tractor Supply Co /De/'s industry peers?

3 issuers in our coverage, TSCO included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply. The largest are: Fastenal Co (FAST), Growgeneration Corp. (GRWG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.