Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Vale S.A. (VALE) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Vale S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Vale S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $57.07B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 39 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VALE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VALE included.
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How VALE ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Vale S.A. (VALE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | VALE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $57.07B | 5/39 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.69x | 16/17 |
| Book Value/Share | $19.24 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | VALE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Tax Rate | 35.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | VALE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.64x | 11/24 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.66x | 11/24 |
| Interest Coverage | 10.2x | 6/26 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | VALE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.53B | 3/34 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -85.9% | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | VALE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | -$7.65B | 29/29 |
| R&D Expense | $402M | 1/6 |
| SG&A Expense | $983M | 1/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | VALE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 4269M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Liabilities | $52.37B | 38.8% of assets |
VALE quarterly financials and insider trading
Vale S.A. (VALE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vale S.A. (Metal Mining): 52 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| VALE Vale S.A. | ▼ | $57.07B |
| BHP Bhp Group Ltd | ▶ | $431.21B |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ | ▶ | $173.06B |
| RIO Rio Tinto Plc | ▼ | $116.88B |
| FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc | ▼ | $104.00B |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | ▶ | $10.16B |
| MP Mp Materials Corp. / De | ▼ | $7.56B |
| CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | ▶ | $7.34B |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | ▶ | $3.82B |
| ALM Almonty Industries Inc. | ▼ | $2.89B |
| USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. | ▼ | $2.76B |
| NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. | ▶ | $1.74B |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | ▶ | $1.41B |
| USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp | ▶ | $1.29B |
| TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. | ▲ | $1.24B |
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corp | ▼ | $969M |
| RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. | ▼ | $886M |
| LAR Lithium Argentina Ag | ▶ | $812M |
| GSM Ferroglobe Plc | ▶ | $783M |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | ▶ | $765M |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd | ▲ | $589M |
| WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp | ▶ | $391M |
| REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. | ▲ | $163M |
| COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. | ▶ | $133M |
| PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. | ▲ | $98M |
| THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc | ▲ | $78M |
| GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd | ▼ | $63M |
| LCGMF Lion Copper Corp. | ▼ | $62M |
| WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $56M |
| SRGZ Star Gold Corp. | ▲ | $32M |
| DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. | ▲ | $27M |
| LTUM Lithium Corp | ▲ | $6M |
| HNOI Hno International, Inc. | ▼ | $3M |
| SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp | ▼ | $2M |
| LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. | ▲ | $2M |
| ARRT Artisan Consumer Goods, Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| FUST Fuse Group Holding Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
| ENRT Enertopia Corp. | ▼ | $430K |
| ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group | ▶ | N/A |
| AEC Anfield Energy Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| ALOY Realloys Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd | ▶ | N/A |
| BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. | ▶ | N/A |
| COPR Idaho Copper Corp | ▼ | N/A |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | ▲ | N/A |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd | ▶ | N/A |
| NB Niocorp Developments Ltd | ▼ | N/A |
| NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
| RYES Rise Gold Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
Where VALE sits on the market map
Vale S.A. (VALE) stock news
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Vale S.A. (VALE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Vale S.A. (VALE) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Vale S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Vale S.A. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VALE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Vale S.A. forecasts updated?
Vale S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Vale S.A.'s industry peers?
52 issuers in our coverage, VALE included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Bhp Group Ltd (BHP), Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM), Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.