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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $57.07B large-cap · #5 of 39 peers
Summary

Vale S.A. (VALE) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, VALE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Vale S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $57.07B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 39 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VALE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VALE included.

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Price

VALE price chart and AI forecast

VALE
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How VALE ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Vale S.A. (VALE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVALEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $57.07B $765M 5/39
P/B Ratio 0.69x 3.56x 16/17
Book Value/Share $19.24 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVALEIndustry medianRank
Tax Rate 35.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricVALEIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.64x 0.24x 11/24
Financial Leverage 1.66x 1.25x 11/24
Interest Coverage 10.2x -6.5x 6/26

Cash Flow

MetricVALEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3.53B -$1M 3/34
OCF Growth YoY -85.9% – –

Income Statement

MetricVALEIndustry medianRank
Operating Income -$7.65B -$1M 29/29
R&D Expense $402M $1M 1/6
SG&A Expense $983M $145M 1/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVALEIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 4269M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$52.37B38.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VALE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Metal Mining

Vale S.A. (VALE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vale S.A. (Metal Mining): 52 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VALE Vale S.A. ▶ $57.07B – 0.7x
BHP Bhp Group Ltd ▶ $431.21B – –
SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ ▲ $173.06B 30.6x 13.7x
RIO Rio Tinto Plc ▼ $116.88B – –
FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc ▶ $104.00B 35.3x 5.2x
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. ▲ $10.16B – –
MP Mp Materials Corp. / De ▶ $7.56B – 3.9x
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. ▲ $7.34B – 1.3x
ERO Ero Copper Corp. ▲ $3.82B – –
ALM Almonty Industries Inc. ▲ $2.89B – –
USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. ▶ $2.76B – 1.1x
NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. ▲ $1.74B – –
IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. ▲ $1.41B – 2.7x
USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp ▲ $1.29B – –
TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. ▲ $1.24B – –
SGML Sigma Lithium Corp ▶ $969M – –
RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. ▼ $886M – –
LAR Lithium Argentina Ag ▲ $812M – –
GSM Ferroglobe Plc ▲ $783M – –
DC Dakota Gold Corp. ▲ $765M – 4.2x
THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd ▲ $589M – 3.6x
WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp ▲ $391M – –
REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. ▲ $163M – 1.9x
COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. ▼ $133M – 28.5x
PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. ▲ $98M – 2.9x
THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc ▲ $78M – –
GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd ▼ $63M – –
LCGMF Lion Copper Corp. ▼ $62M – 3.0x
WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. ▲ $56M – 0.3x
SRGZ Star Gold Corp. ▶ $32M – 12.6x
DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. ▼ $27M – 6.3x
LTUM Lithium Corp ▶ $6M – –
HNOI Hno International, Inc. ▼ $3M – –
SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. ▼ $2M – –
MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp ▼ $2M – –
LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. ▲ $2M – –
ARRT Artisan Consumer Goods, Inc. ▼ $1M – –
FUST Fuse Group Holding Inc. ▼ $1M – –
ENRT Enertopia Corp. ▶ $430K – 7.4x
ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. ▶ N/A – –
ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group ▼ N/A – –
AEC Anfield Energy Inc. ▶ N/A – –
ALOY Realloys Inc. ▲ N/A – –
AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. ▶ N/A – –
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ▲ N/A – –
BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. ▶ N/A – –
COPR Idaho Copper Corp ▼ N/A – –
CRML Critical Metals Corp. ▲ N/A – –
LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd ▲ N/A – –
NB Niocorp Developments Ltd ▲ N/A – –
NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. ▶ N/A – –
RYES Rise Gold Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where VALE sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Metal Mining
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News

Vale S.A. (VALE) stock news

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FAQ

Vale S.A. (VALE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Vale S.A. (VALE) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, VALE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Vale S.A. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VALE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Vale S.A. forecasts updated?

Vale S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Vale S.A.'s industry peers?

52 issuers in our coverage, VALE included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Bhp Group Ltd (BHP), Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM), Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.