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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Innovate Corp. (VATE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $87M small-cap · #4 of 5 peers
Summary

Innovate Corp. (VATE) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Innovate Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Innovate Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $87M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 5 Fabricated Structural Metal Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VATE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VATE included.

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Price

VATE price chart and AI forecast

VATE
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How VATE ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Innovate Corp. (VATE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fabricated Structural Metal Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVATEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $87M $2.20B 4/5
Dividend Yield 2.07% – –
EPS $-1.86 – –
Revenue/Share $111.14 – –
FCF/Share $10.64 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVATEIndustry medianRank
ROA -2.2% 3.9% 4/5
ROIC -84.6% 5.1% 5/5
Gross Margin 15.9% 23.0% 4/5
Operating Margin 4.3% 6.6% 4/5
Net Margin -1.5% 5.4% 4/5
EBT Margin -1.0% 7.5% 4/5
Tax Rate -49.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricVATEIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.44x 2.35x 5/5
Quick Ratio 0.43x 1.55x 5/5
Interest Coverage 19.2x 8.6x 2/5
Working Capital -$604M $193M 5/5

Cash Flow

MetricVATEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $141M $141M 3/5
Free Cash Flow $145M $135M 2/5
Capital Spending $4M -$22M 1/5
OCF Growth YoY 259.3% 4.3% 1/5
FCF Growth YoY 505.0% – –
FCF/Sales 9.6% 7.6% 2/5
CapEx/Sales 0.3% 3.9% 5/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricVATEIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.51x 1.22x 1/5
Receivables Turnover 5.3x 5.9x 4/5
Inventory Turnover 86.1x 17.0x 1/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 11.1x 3.9x 1/5
Days Sales Outstanding 68 days 62 days 2/5
Days Inventory 4 days 22 days 5/5

Income Statement

MetricVATEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.52B $1.52B 3/5
Operating Income $64M $64M 3/5
Net Income -$22M $30M 5/5
SG&A Expense $161M $200M 4/5
Cost of Goods Sold $1.27B $1.27B 3/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVATEIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.13 – –
Shares Outstanding 14M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$479M47.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$88M8.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$284M28.3% of assets
Inventory$15M1.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.23B121.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VATE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fabricated Structural Metal Products

Innovate Corp. (VATE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Innovate Corp. (Fabricated Structural Metal Products): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VATE Innovate Corp. ▲ $87M – –
VMI Valmont Industries Inc ▶ $9.11B 18.4x 5.3x
ACA Arcosa, Inc. ▼ $7.23B 14.7x 2.4x
PRLB Proto Labs Inc ▶ $2.20B 72.1x 3.2x
TPCS Techprecision Corp ▲ $57M – 7.5x

Where VATE sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Fabricated Structural Metal Products
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News

Innovate Corp. (VATE) stock news

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FAQ

Innovate Corp. (VATE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Innovate Corp. (VATE) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Innovate Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Innovate Corp. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VATE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Innovate Corp. forecasts updated?

Innovate Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Innovate Corp.'s industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, VATE included, share the SEC industry code Fabricated Structural Metal Products. The largest are: Valmont Industries Inc (VMI), Arcosa, Inc. (ACA), Proto Labs Inc (PRLB), Techprecision Corp (TPCS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.