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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $131.43B large-cap · #4 of 13 peers
Summary

Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, VLO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Valero Energy Corp/Tx is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $131.43B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 13 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 1.64x is the highest of the 11 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VLO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VLO included.

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Price

VLO price chart and AI forecast

VLO
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How VLO ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVLOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $131.43B $62.35B 4/13
P/E Ratio 18.22x 18.22x 5/9
P/B Ratio 5.04x 3.15x 4/10
Dividend Yield 1.07% 1.48% 7/8
EPS $24.03 – –
Book Value/Share $90.50 – –
Revenue/Share $484.14 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVLOIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.1% 18.0% 4/8
ROA 8.0% 7.5% 4/9
ROIC 22.8% 16.6% 2/6
Gross Margin 8.0% 5.0% 4/10
Operating Margin 7.9% 6.1% 2/6
Net Margin 3.9% 4.0% 7/9
EBT Margin 7.8% 7.8% 5/9
Tax Rate 22.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricVLOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.64x 1.32x 1/11
Quick Ratio 1.23x 0.91x 2/10
D/E Ratio 1.30x 1.43x 6/10
Financial Leverage 2.40x 2.50x 6/10
Interest Coverage 35.8x 4.8x 1/8
Working Capital $11.93B $3.81B 1/11

Cash Flow

MetricVLOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $10.91B $7.18B 4/11
OCF Growth YoY 156.5% 160.7% 5/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricVLOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.23x 1.32x 2/11
Receivables Turnover 10.0x 10.5x 7/10
Inventory Turnover 16.8x 13.3x 2/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.2x 2.9x 2/11
Days Sales Outstanding 36 days 35 days 4/10
Days Inventory 22 days 27 days 9/10
Payables Period 41 days 47 days 5/8
Cash Conversion Cycle 17 days 17 days 4/7

Income Statement

MetricVLOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $139.40B $51.84B 2/11
Operating Income $10.01B $1.94B 2/6
Net Income $4.98B $4.98B 5/9
Cost of Goods Sold $128.20B $33.95B 3/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVLOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.89 – –
Payout Ratio 20.4% 28.9% 6/8
Shares Outstanding 288M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$30.67B49.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$7.87B12.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$13.93B22.3% of assets
Inventory$7.62B12.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$33.75B53.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$4.32B6.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VLO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining

Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Valero Energy Corp/Tx (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx ▶ $131.43B 18.2x 5.0x
CVX Chevron Corp ▼ $430.18B 20.9x 2.3x
COP Conocophillips ▼ $169.27B 18.2x 2.6x
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp ▼ $133.95B 15.7x 5.5x
PSX Phillips 66 ▼ $116.81B 16.5x 3.7x
EQNR Equinor Asa ▼ $112.56B – –
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd ▼ $62.35B 15.0x 2.5x
YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima ▶ $20.44B – –
PBF Pbf Energy Inc. ▲ $10.81B 8.0x 1.7x
CVI Cvr Energy Inc ▶ $6.35B 92.0x 12.1x
DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.94B 22.0x 26.5x
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. ▶ $4.77B – 1.2x
SUNC Sunococorp Llc ▼ $3.89B – –
BP Bp Plc ▼ N/A – –
SUN Sunoco Lp ▼ N/A – –

Where VLO sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
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News

Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock news

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FAQ

Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, VLO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Valero Energy Corp/Tx stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VLO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Valero Energy Corp/Tx forecasts updated?

Valero Energy Corp/Tx forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Valero Energy Corp/Tx's industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, VLO included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), Equinor Asa (EQNR), Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.