Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Waste Connections, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Waste Connections, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $38.73B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 9 Refuse Systems issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for WCN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How WCN ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Refuse Systems peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | WCN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $38.73B | 3/9 |
| P/E Ratio | 36.52x | 2/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.89x | 4/8 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.90% | – |
| EPS | $4.22 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $31.43 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $38.74 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.89 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | WCN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 13.4% | 3/9 |
| ROA | 5.0% | 3/10 |
| ROIC | 8.6% | 3/9 |
| Gross Margin | 42.5% | 3/10 |
| Operating Margin | 17.0% | 3/9 |
| Net Margin | 10.9% | 3/10 |
| EBT Margin | 14.2% | 1/9 |
| Tax Rate | 23.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | WCN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66x | 7/11 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.70x | 6/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.70x | 6/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.4x | 3/10 |
| Working Capital | -$729M | 10/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | WCN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.51B | 3/10 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.23B | 3/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.28B | 5/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 8.9% | 4/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 8.1% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 12.6% | 3/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 13.1% | 1/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | WCN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.46x | 6/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.1x | 3/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.1x | 7/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 40 days | 5/7 |
| Payables Period | 50 days | 6/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | WCN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $9.76B | 3/7 |
| Operating Income | $1.66B | 3/9 |
| Net Income | $1.06B | 3/10 |
| SG&A Expense | $978M | 3/7 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $5.61B | 3/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | WCN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.38 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 32.7% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 252M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.40B | 6.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $98M | 0.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.07B | 5.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $13.48B | 63.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.36B | 6.3% of assets |
WCN quarterly financials and insider trading
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Waste Connections, Inc. (Refuse Systems): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | ▼ | $38.73B |
| WM Waste Management Inc | ▶ | $84.67B |
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. | ▶ | $67.34B |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc | ▶ | $5.43B |
| NVRI Enviri Corp | ▲ | $576M |
| DBHL Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. | ▼ | $176M |
| AWX Avalon Holdings Corp | ▲ | $10M |
| RENX Renx Enterprises Corp. | ▶ | $4M |
| SNRG Susglobal Energy Corp. | ▼ | $2M |
| GFL Gfl Environmental Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corp | ▲ | N/A |
| VIVK Vivakor, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where WCN sits on the market map
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) stock news
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Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Waste Connections, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Waste Connections, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for WCN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Waste Connections, Inc. forecasts updated?
Waste Connections, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Waste Connections, Inc.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, WCN included, share the SEC industry code Refuse Systems. The largest are: Waste Management Inc (WM), Republic Services, Inc. (RSG), Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST), Enviri Corp (NVRI), Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. (DBHL), Avalon Holdings Corp (AWX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.