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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Waste Management Inc (WM) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $84.67B large-cap · #1 of 9 peers
Summary

Waste Management Inc (WM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Waste Management Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Waste Management Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $84.67B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 9 Refuse Systems issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 28.8% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for WM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, WM included.

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Price

WM price chart and AI forecast

WM
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How WM ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Waste Management Inc (WM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Refuse Systems peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricWMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $84.67B $576M 1/9
P/E Ratio 29.68x 30.81x 4/5
P/B Ratio 8.53x 4.16x 2/8
Dividend Yield 1.69% – –
EPS $7.06 – –
Book Value/Share $24.83 – –
Revenue/Share $64.21 – –
FCF/Share $8.94 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricWMIndustry medianRank
ROE 28.8% 0.4% 1/9
ROA 6.1% -6.5% 2/10
ROIC 11.1% 2.0% 1/9
Gross Margin 40.9% 30.3% 4/10
Operating Margin 17.6% 3.4% 1/9
Net Margin 11.1% -3.4% 2/10
EBT Margin 14.1% 0.5% 2/9
Tax Rate 21.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricWMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.91x 0.91x 6/11
D/E Ratio 3.68x 1.80x 3/10
Financial Leverage 4.68x 2.75x 3/10
Interest Coverage 1.2x 0.2x 4/10
Working Capital -$551M -$18M 9/11

Cash Flow

MetricWMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6.52B $7M 1/10
Free Cash Flow $3.57B $106M 1/7
Capital Spending -$2.94B -$245M 7/7
OCF Growth YoY 15.9% 9.2% 2/5
FCF Growth YoY 65.2% – –
FCF/Sales 13.9% 5.4% 1/7
CapEx/Sales 11.5% 9.8% 3/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricWMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.55x 0.55x 3/7
Receivables Turnover 7.3x 8.9x 6/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.3x 1.5x 6/7
Days Sales Outstanding 50 days 41 days 2/7
Payables Period 48 days 54 days 7/9

Income Statement

MetricWMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $25.67B $1.96B 1/7
Operating Income $4.51B $3M 1/9
Net Income $2.85B -$500K 1/10
SG&A Expense $2.73B $34M 1/7
Cost of Goods Sold $15.18B $138M 1/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricWMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.58 – –
Payout Ratio 50.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 400M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.40B11.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$557M1.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3.50B7.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$36.52B78.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$3.96B8.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

WM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Refuse Systems

Waste Management Inc (WM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Waste Management Inc (Refuse Systems): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
WM Waste Management Inc ▼ $84.67B 29.7x 8.5x
RSG Republic Services, Inc. ▼ $67.34B 30.8x 5.6x
WCN Waste Connections, Inc. ▼ $38.73B 36.5x 4.9x
CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc ▼ $5.43B 951.4x 3.4x
NVRI Enviri Corp ▲ $576M – 0.9x
DBHL Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. ▼ $176M – 8.9x
AWX Avalon Holdings Corp ▲ $10M 8.0x 0.3x
RENX Renx Enterprises Corp. ▲ $4M – 0.6x
SNRG Susglobal Energy Corp. ▶ $2M – –
GFL Gfl Environmental Inc. ▼ N/A – –
QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corp ▲ N/A – –
VIVK Vivakor, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where WM sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Refuse Systems
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News

Waste Management Inc (WM) stock news

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FAQ

Waste Management Inc (WM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Waste Management Inc (WM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Waste Management Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Waste Management Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for WM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Waste Management Inc forecasts updated?

Waste Management Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Waste Management Inc's industry peers?

12 issuers in our coverage, WM included, share the SEC industry code Refuse Systems. The largest are: Republic Services, Inc. (RSG), Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN), Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST), Enviri Corp (NVRI), Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. (DBHL), Avalon Holdings Corp (AWX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.