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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14
Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-22.0%
Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap
$890.80B
mega-cap · #1 of 9 peers
Summary
Walmart Inc. (WMT) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Walmart Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Walmart Inc. is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $890.80B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 9 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For WMT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -22.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-06-26 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-08-25. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, WMT included.
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WMT price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How WMT ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-07-31
Walmart Inc. (WMT) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | WMT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $890.80B | 1/9 |
| P/E Ratio | 40.35x | 2/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 11.45x | 2/9 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.86% | – |
| EPS | $2.65 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $9.81 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $92.75 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.70 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | WMT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.3% | 6/7 |
| ROA | 7.6% | 4/7 |
| ROIC | 38.8% | 1/9 |
| Gross Margin | 25.2% | 6/9 |
| Operating Margin | 6.2% | 4/9 |
| Net Margin | 2.9% | 5/7 |
| EBT Margin | 5.6% | 4/9 |
| Tax Rate | 23.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | WMT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.77x | 8/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.23x | 7/8 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.52x | 5/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.56x | 5/9 |
| Interest Coverage | 68.5x | 4/8 |
| Working Capital | -$26.93B | 9/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | WMT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $42.92B | 1/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $13.51B | 1/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$29.41B | 9/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 11.7% | 6/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -11.5% | 7/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 1.8% | 7/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.0% | 4/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | WMT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 3.70x | 1/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 66.4x | 5/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 8.9x | 4/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.2x | 5/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 5 days | 1/5 |
| Days Inventory | 41 days | 5/8 |
| Payables Period | 43 days | 6/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 4 days | 4/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | WMT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $735.84B | 1/9 |
| Operating Income | $32.28B | 1/9 |
| Net Income | $15.03B | 1/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $153.38B | 1/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $550.18B | 1/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | WMT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.97 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 36.6% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 7934M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $88.70B | 44.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $11.53B | 5.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $11.07B | 5.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $61.60B | 31.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $118.29B | 59.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $51.31B | 25.8% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
WMT quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Retail-Variety Stores
Walmart Inc. (WMT) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Walmart Inc. (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| WMT Walmart Inc. | ▼ | $890.80B |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New | ▶ | $423.36B |
| TGT Target Corp | ▶ | $69.05B |
| DG Dollar General Corp | ▼ | $27.58B |
| DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. | ▼ | $21.82B |
| BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $12.58B |
| FIVE Five Below, Inc | ▶ | $11.75B |
| PSMT Pricesmart Inc | ▶ | $5.30B |
| OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $5.25B |
| MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | N/A |
Where WMT sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Retail-Variety Stores
News
Walmart Inc. (WMT) stock news
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FAQ
Walmart Inc. (WMT) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Walmart Inc. (WMT) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Walmart Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Walmart Inc. stock predictions?
For WMT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -22.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-06-26 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-08-25. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Walmart Inc. forecasts updated?
Walmart Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Walmart Inc.'s industry peers?
10 issuers in our coverage, WMT included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar General Corp (DG), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ), Five Below, Inc (FIVE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.