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Stock comparison · Signal date 2026-11-03

CMG vs MCD: stock comparison and AI forecast

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) and Mcdonalds Corp (MCD) compared on price performance, valuation, profitability and the daily AI forecast. · Alpha · vs market

Share
NYSE · Retail-Eating Places

CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Price
$31.89 -6.2% · 6M
Market Cap
$40.35B
P/E Ratio
28.5x
Size
large-cap
AI Forecast
NO CURRENT FORECAST
Full analysis →
NYSE · Retail-Eating Places

MCD Mcdonalds Corp

Price
$265.64 -6.5% · 6M
Market Cap
$187.98B
P/E Ratio
21.6x
Size
large-cap
AI Forecast
Full analysis →
Model output

Which one does the AI model favor?

Intratio's model scores both stocks every trading day. Sign in to see their current direction; the exact ratings and forecasts come with a plan or a free follow slot.

6M · 2026-05-04 → 2026-10-30

Six-month price performance

Closing prices rebased to 100 at the start of the window.

8090100110
CMG -6.2% MCD -6.5%
CMG · MCD

Key facts

  • MCD is 4.7 times larger than CMG by market capitalization ($187.98B against $40.35B).
  • MCD trades at 21.6 times trailing earnings, CMG at 28.5 times.
  • Over the last six months CMG returned -6.2% and MCD -6.5%.
  • MCD turns 32.0% of its revenue into net income, against 13.3% for CMG.
  • MCD yields 2.78% in dividends; CMG pays none.
  • Both companies share the SEC industry classification Retail-Eating Places.
Fundamentals

Fundamentals side by side

Trailing twelve months.

Valuation & Market

MetricCMGMCD
Market Cap$40.35B$187.98B
P/E Ratio28.47x21.58x
P/B Ratio12.01x–
Dividend Yield–2.78%
EPS$1.12$12.31
Book Value/Share$2.66–
Revenue/Share$10.05$39.15
FCF/Share$1.19$10.97

Profitability & Margins

MetricCMGMCD
ROE42.8%–
ROA–14.8%
ROIC–22.9%
Gross Margin–90.3%
Operating Margin16.6%46.1%
Net Margin13.3%32.0%
EBT Margin16.9%41.4%
Tax Rate24.7%20.9%

Financial Health

MetricCMGMCD
Current Ratio0.81x1.08x
Quick Ratio0.78x1.07x
D/E Ratio1.50x–
Interest Coverage–8.2x
Working Capital-$275M$327M

Cash Flow

MetricCMGMCD
Operating Cash Flow$2.35B$11.34B
Free Cash Flow$1.51B$7.76B
Capital Spending-$838M-$3.58B
OCF Growth YoY6.0%15.8%
FCF Growth YoY-4.0%12.5%
FCF/Sales11.9%28.0%
CapEx/Sales6.6%12.9%

Operational Efficiency

MetricCMGMCD
Asset Turnover–0.46x
Receivables Turnover127.7x–
Inventory Turnover–46.1x
Fixed Assets Turnover4.2x1.0x
Days Sales Outstanding3 days–
Days Inventory–8 days
Payables Period–152 days

Income Statement

MetricCMGMCD
Total Revenue$12.71B$27.70B
Operating Income$1.79B$12.80B
Net Income$1.44B$8.90B
SG&A Expense–$3.23B
Cost of Goods Sold–$2.68B

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCMGMCD
Dividends Per Share–$7.38
Payout Ratio–60.0%
Shares Outstanding1265M708M
Net Income Growth0.0%3.1%
EPS Growth0.0%5.5%
FAQ

CMG vs MCD: stock comparison and AI forecast

Which is bigger, CMG or MCD?

MCD is 4.7 times larger than CMG by market capitalization ($187.98B against $40.35B).

Which is cheaper on earnings, CMG or MCD?

MCD trades at 21.6 times trailing earnings, CMG at 28.5 times.

Which stock performed better over the last six months, CMG or MCD?

Over the last six months CMG returned -6.2% and MCD -6.5%.

Which one does Intratio's AI model rank higher, CMG or MCD?

Intratio's model scores both stocks every trading day. Sign in to see their current direction; the exact ratings and forecasts come with a plan or a free follow slot.

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This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.