American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Forecast Oct. 7, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 7, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks American Airlines Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
American Airlines Group Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.61B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 12 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AAL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.2%, strong sell < +1.0% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-07 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AAL included.
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How AAL ranks among 5375 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $8.61B | 6/12 |
| EPS | $-0.63 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $88.13 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.43 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.5% | 4/7 |
| ROIC | 2.7% | 6/8 |
| Operating Margin | 1.7% | 6/8 |
| Net Margin | -0.6% | 4/6 |
| EBT Margin | -0.6% | 6/8 |
| Tax Rate | 11.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53x | 6/9 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.4x | 4/8 |
| Working Capital | -$12.48B | 8/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.37B | 3/8 |
| Free Cash Flow | $285M | 2/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$4.09B | 5/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 6.8% | 4/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -81.8% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 0.5% | 3/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 7.0% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.91x | 2/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 30.8x | 3/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.8x | 2/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 12 days | 5/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $58.34B | 3/8 |
| Operating Income | $1.01B | 4/8 |
| Net Income | -$326M | 6/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 662M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $14.28B | 22.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.15B | 1.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.89B | 2.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $68.20B | 106.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $23.12B | 36.0% of assets |
AAL quarterly financials and insider trading
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Airlines Group Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | ▲ | $8.61B |
| LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. | ▶ | $29.99T |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc | ▶ | $58.32B |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | ▲ | $55.02B |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $36.31B |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co | ▶ | $20.77B |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | ▶ | $5.69B |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | ▲ | $4.45B |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Co | ▲ | $2.12B |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.44B |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $824M |
| FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. | ▲ | $90M |
Where AAL sits on the market map
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock news
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American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks American Airlines Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are American Airlines Group Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AAL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are American Airlines Group Inc. forecasts updated?
American Airlines Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 7, 2026.
Which companies are American Airlines Group Inc.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, AAL included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.