Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Stock Forecast Oct. 7, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 7, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 7, 2026, ALK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5375 stocks scored that day.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.45B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 12 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ALK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-07 signals)
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How ALK ranks among 5375 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.45B | 8/12 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.21x | 7/8 |
| EPS | $-1.61 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $32.88 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $132.28 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -4.8% | 4/6 |
| ROA | -0.8% | 5/7 |
| ROIC | -1.6% | 7/8 |
| Operating Margin | -1.5% | 7/8 |
| Net Margin | -1.2% | 5/6 |
| EBT Margin | -2.6% | 7/8 |
| Tax Rate | 55.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.55x | 5/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.51x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 4.79x | 2/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.79x | 2/8 |
| Interest Coverage | -3.8x | 8/8 |
| Working Capital | -$3.26B | 5/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.02B | 5/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -28.5% | 6/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.69x | 6/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 21.7x | 6/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.2x | 6/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 17 days | 2/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $14.76B | 5/8 |
| Operating Income | -$224M | 7/8 |
| Net Income | -$175M | 5/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 112M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.94B | 18.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.06B | 5.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $681M | 3.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $253M | 1.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $17.58B | 82.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $6.79B | 32.0% of assets |
ALK quarterly financials and insider trading
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | ▶ | $4.45B |
| LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. | ▶ | $29.99T |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc | ▼ | $58.32B |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | ▲ | $55.02B |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $36.31B |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co | ▶ | $20.77B |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | ▲ | $8.61B |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | ▼ | $5.69B |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Co | ▶ | $2.12B |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.44B |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $824M |
| FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. | ▶ | $90M |
Where ALK sits on the market map
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock news
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Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock forecast?
On Oct. 7, 2026, ALK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5375 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Alaska Air Group, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ALK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Alaska Air Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Alaska Air Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 7, 2026.
Which companies are Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, ALK included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.