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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-07

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Stock Forecast Oct. 7, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 7, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5375 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $4.45B mid-cap · #8 of 12 peers
Summary

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.45B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 12 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ALK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.2%, strong sell < +1.0% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-07 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ALK included.

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Price

ALK price chart and AI forecast

ALK
Cross-section · 2026-10-07

How ALK ranks among 5375 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricALKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.45B $7.15B 8/12
P/B Ratio 1.21x 2.34x 7/8
EPS $-1.61 – –
Book Value/Share $32.88 – –
Revenue/Share $132.28 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricALKIndustry medianRank
ROE -4.8% -0.6% 4/6
ROA -0.8% -0.5% 5/7
ROIC -1.6% 5.8% 7/8
Operating Margin -1.5% 4.4% 7/8
Net Margin -1.2% 0.6% 5/6
EBT Margin -2.6% 2.6% 7/8
Tax Rate 55.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricALKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.55x 0.55x 5/9
Quick Ratio 0.51x – –
D/E Ratio 4.79x 3.00x 2/8
Financial Leverage 5.79x 4.00x 2/8
Interest Coverage -3.8x 1.2x 8/8
Working Capital -$3.26B -$3.26B 5/9

Cash Flow

MetricALKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.02B $1.77B 5/8
OCF Growth YoY -28.5% 8.0% 6/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricALKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.69x 0.77x 6/8
Receivables Turnover 21.7x 27.0x 6/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.2x 1.4x 6/8
Days Sales Outstanding 17 days 14 days 2/7

Income Statement

MetricALKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $14.76B $22.42B 5/8
Operating Income -$224M $615M 7/8
Net Income -$175M -$31M 5/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricALKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 112M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$3.94B18.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.06B5.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$681M3.2% of assets
Inventory$253M1.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$17.58B82.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$6.79B32.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ALK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air Transportation, Scheduled

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. ▲ $4.45B – 1.2x
LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. ▶ $29.99T – –
RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc ▶ $58.32B – –
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. ▲ $55.02B 13.9x 2.5x
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. ▲ $36.31B 10.4x 2.2x
LUV Southwest Airlines Co ▶ $20.77B – 2.6x
AAL American Airlines Group Inc. ▲ $8.61B – –
CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. ▶ $5.69B – –
ALGT Allegiant Travel Co ▲ $2.12B – 1.9x
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.44B – 6.4x
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. ▶ $824M – 0.6x
FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. ▲ $90M – 3.0x

Where ALK sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Air Transportation, Scheduled
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News

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock news

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FAQ

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Alaska Air Group, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ALK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Alaska Air Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 7, 2026.

Which companies are Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

12 issuers in our coverage, ALK included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.