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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $27.62B large-cap · #4 of 12 peers
Summary

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Atmos Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Atmos Energy Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $27.62B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 12 Natural Gas Distribution issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 28.5% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ATO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ATO included.

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Price

ATO price chart and AI forecast

ATO
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How ATO ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Natural Gas Distribution peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricATOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $27.62B $5.00B 4/12
P/E Ratio 19.70x 14.37x 2/9
P/B Ratio 1.81x 1.89x 6/10
Dividend Yield 2.29% 3.14% 7/9
EPS $8.38 – –
Book Value/Share $90.29 – –
Revenue/Share $29.12 – –
FCF/Share $-11.96 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricATOIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.2% 10.5% 6/9
ROA 4.4% 3.9% 5/10
ROIC 6.1% 7.1% 8/12
Operating Margin 37.0% 23.9% 3/11
Net Margin 28.5% 15.7% 1/9
EBT Margin 35.6% 23.2% 2/12
Tax Rate 20.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricATOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.81x 0.87x 8/13
D/E Ratio 1.07x 1.49x 8/11
Financial Leverage 2.07x 3.04x 10/11
Interest Coverage 1.4x 2.7x 9/13
Working Capital -$344M -$148M 9/13

Cash Flow

MetricATOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.02B $616M 4/13
Free Cash Flow -$2.02B -$173M 8/9
Capital Spending -$4.04B -$838M 8/9
OCF Growth YoY -0.6% 15.9% 7/10
FCF/Sales -41.0% 8.8% 6/7
CapEx/Sales 82.1% 37.1% 1/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricATOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.16x 0.34x 9/9
Receivables Turnover 10.5x 16.3x 7/7
Days Sales Outstanding 35 days 22 days 1/7

Income Statement

MetricATOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.92B $2.72B 4/9
Operating Income $1.82B $548M 4/12
Net Income $1.40B $501M 3/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricATOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.74 – –
Payout Ratio 44.6% 44.6% 5/9
Shares Outstanding 169M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.50B4.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$521M1.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$469M1.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$16.33B51.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ATO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Natural Gas Distribution

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Atmos Energy Corp (Natural Gas Distribution): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ATO Atmos Energy Corp ▼ $27.62B 19.7x 1.8x
LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. ▼ $59.26B 20.3x 10.4x
VG Venture Global, Inc. ▶ $34.60B 11.4x 4.0x
CQP Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. ▼ $31.26B 10.0x –
NFG National Fuel Gas Co ▼ $7.71B 11.4x 2.0x
NJR New Jersey Resources Corp ▶ $5.26B 14.4x 2.0x
SR Spire Inc ▼ $4.73B 12.7x 1.3x
OGS One Gas, Inc. ▼ $4.69B 16.3x 1.3x
EE Excelerate Energy, Inc. ▶ $3.97B – 5.8x
NWN Northwest Natural Holding Co ▼ $2.05B 16.3x 1.3x
SLNG Stabilis Solutions, Inc. ▲ $97M – 1.7x
NFE New Fortress Energy Inc. ▼ $25M – –
CETY Clean Energy Technologies, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where ATO sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Natural Gas Distribution
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News

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock news

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FAQ

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Atmos Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Atmos Energy Corp stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ATO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Atmos Energy Corp forecasts updated?

Atmos Energy Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Atmos Energy Corp's industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, ATO included, share the SEC industry code Natural Gas Distribution. The largest are: Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG), Venture Global, Inc. (VG), Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP), National Fuel Gas Co (NFG), New Jersey Resources Corp (NJR), Spire Inc (SR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.