Alibaba takes AI beyond chatbots with smart glasses, Bose-powered earbuds
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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Total
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5112 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-12.0%
Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap
$257.75B
mega-cap · #2 of 60 peers
Summary
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 15, 2026, BABA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5112 stocks scored that day.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $257.75B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BABA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.6%, buy ≥ +3.2%, sell < +1.9%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)
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BABA price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-15
How BABA ranks among 5112 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-03-31
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $257.75B | 2/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 78.20x | 7/42 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.68x | 37/47 |
| EPS | $1.42 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $66.30 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 2.5% | 32/45 |
| Gross Margin | 40.9% | 25/42 |
| Operating Margin | 8.5% | 31/51 |
| EBT Margin | 15.7% | 19/53 |
| Tax Rate | 20.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.28x | 31/56 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.74x | 42/51 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.80x | 37/47 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.1x | 23/47 |
| Working Capital | $19.48B | 1/56 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $9.68B | 6/53 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Payables Period | 37 days | 12/35 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | $5.01B | 6/51 |
| R&D Expense | $4.19B | 1/27 |
| SG&A Expense | $17.49B | 1/40 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $34.74B | 2/42 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2319M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)
| Total Current Assets | $88.53B | 32.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $19.07B | 6.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.22B | 1.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $113.54B | 41.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $65.44B | 23.6% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
BABA quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Business Services, NEC
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | ▶ | $257.75B |
| MA Mastercard Inc | ▼ | $528.44B |
| ACN Accenture Plc | ▼ | $150.19B |
| UBER Uber Technologies, Inc | ▲ | $141.53B |
| PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $116.83B |
| MELI Mercadolibre Inc | ▶ | $93.24B |
| DASH Doordash, Inc. | ▶ | $83.65B |
| RELX Relx Plc | ▼ | $67.18B |
| EBAY Ebay Inc | ▼ | $54.69B |
| PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $52.49B |
| MSCI Msci Inc. | ▼ | $40.75B |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | ▼ | $26.67B |
| FISV Fiserv Inc | ▼ | $24.50B |
| GPN Global Payments Inc | ▼ | $21.40B |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $19.85B |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | ▼ | $18.29B |
| KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz | ▶ | $18.05B |
| RBA Rb Global Inc. | ▼ | $16.26B |
| FICO Fair Isaac Corp | ▲ | $15.54B |
| AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc | ▲ | $13.27B |
| CSGP Costar Group, Inc. | ▼ | $12.97B |
| WSE Wise Group Plc | ▶ | $12.24B |
| GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd | ▶ | $11.91B |
| CART Maplebear Inc. | ▶ | $11.84B |
| ETSY Etsy Inc | ▲ | $7.61B |
| HQY Healthequity, Inc. | ▼ | $7.43B |
| ANDG Andersen Group Inc. | ▶ | $6.66B |
| Z Zillow Group, Inc. | ▲ | $6.37B |
| LYFT Lyft, Inc. | ▶ | $6.24B |
| EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $6.21B |
| WEX Wex Inc. | ▼ | $5.95B |
| XMTR Xometry, Inc. | ▲ | $5.45B |
| MBGL Mobility Global Inc. | ▶ | $5.26B |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | ▲ | $4.97B |
| QH Quhuo Ltd | ▲ | $4.83B |
| AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $4.67B |
| DLO Dlocal Ltd | ▶ | $4.45B |
| SEZL Sezzle Inc. | ▲ | $4.15B |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $3.86B |
| TNET Trinet Group, Inc. | ▼ | $3.08B |
| MMS Maximus, Inc. | ▼ | $3.02B |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | ▲ | $3.00B |
| CBZ Cbiz, Inc. | ▼ | $2.97B |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | ▼ | $2.42B |
| TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $1.89B |
| ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. | ▲ | $1.78B |
| CNXC Concentrix Corp | ▲ | $1.69B |
| NUTX Nutex Health Inc. | ▲ | $1.39B |
| LQDT Liquidity Services Inc | ▼ | $1.37B |
| RDWR Radware Ltd | ▲ | $1.24B |
| RSKD Riskified Ltd. | ▲ | $1.14B |
| QNST Quinstreet, Inc | ▲ | $893M |
| PAYS Paysign, Inc. | ▶ | $856M |
| TC Token Cat Ltd | ▼ | $746M |
| CASS Cass Information Systems Inc | ▼ | $695M |
| TDTH Trident Digital Tech Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $663M |
| PHR Phreesia, Inc. | ▶ | $660M |
| PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $645M |
| MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. | ▲ | $564M |
| CTEV Claritev Corp | ▲ | $404M |
Where BABA sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Services-Business Services, NEC
News
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock news
Alibaba Unveils $450 AI Glasses in Expanding Push Into Gadgets
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. on Tuesday unveiled the new generation of its smart glasses, deepening its foray into consumer ...
Alibaba stock rises as China limits sell orders
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd BABA shares are surging Friday as U.S.-listed Chinese stocks climb on talk that Beijing intervened ...
FAQ
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock forecast?
On Oct. 15, 2026, BABA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5112 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock predictions?
For BABA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecasts updated?
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.
Which companies are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, BABA included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Mastercard Inc (MA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD), Mercadolibre Inc (MELI), Doordash, Inc. (DASH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.