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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$4.45B
mid-cap · #9 of 22 peers
Summary
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.45B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 22 Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of -9.2% is the lowest of the 12 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for BWIN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BWIN included.
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BWIN price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How BWIN ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BWIN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.45B | 9/22 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.03x | 9/16 |
| EPS | $-0.87 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.34 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $12.46 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.31 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BWIN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -9.2% | 12/12 |
| ROA | -1.3% | 14/17 |
| ROIC | -2.7% | 11/12 |
| Gross Margin | 14.8% | 7/7 |
| Operating Margin | -6.9% | 12/14 |
| Net Margin | -4.7% | 13/15 |
| EBT Margin | -15.8% | 18/22 |
| Tax Rate | 52.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BWIN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.07x | 13/20 |
| D/E Ratio | 5.37x | 5/20 |
| Financial Leverage | 6.98x | 5/20 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.2x | 14/19 |
| Working Capital | $126M | 7/18 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BWIN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $91M | 13/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | $44M | 11/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$47M | 7/12 |
| FCF/Sales | 2.5% | 11/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.7% | 4/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BWIN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.28x | 15/22 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 52.1x | 6/14 |
| Payables Period | 60 days | 2/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BWIN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.74B | 8/21 |
| Operating Income | -$119M | 15/15 |
| Net Income | -$81M | 16/17 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.48B | 2/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BWIN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 140M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.85B | 29.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $184M | 3.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $4.75B | 77.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.48B | 23.9% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
BWIN quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BWIN Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4.45B |
| MRSH Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. | ▼ | $84.47B |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | ▼ | $59.69B |
| AON Aon Plc | ▼ | $58.27B |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | ▶ | $21.43B |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $14.50B |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Co | ▲ | $10.66B |
| ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $6.18B |
| HGTY Hagerty, Inc. | ▲ | $5.15B |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | ▼ | $4.29B |
| CRVL Corvel Corp | ▲ | $3.98B |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $3.98B |
| GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. | ▲ | $1.58B |
| TWFG Twfg, Inc. | ▲ | $1.32B |
| HUIZ Huize Holding Ltd | ▲ | $1.30B |
| CRD-A Crawford & Co | ▲ | $608M |
| RDZN Roadzen Inc. | ▲ | $95M |
| SLQT Selectquote, Inc. | ▲ | $62M |
| HIT Health In Tech, Inc. | ▲ | $47M |
| EHTH Ehealth, Inc. | ▲ | $21M |
| CCG Cheche Group Inc. | ▶ | $11M |
| EZRA Reliance Global Group, Inc. | ▲ | $2M |
| AAPI Apple Isports Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| QDMI Qdm International Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| SUND Sundance Strategies, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where BWIN sits on the market map
Finance · Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
News
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) stock news
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Greetings, and welcome to the Baldwin Group First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce ...
The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc (BWIN) Q4 2025 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For
The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for ...
FAQ
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for BWIN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, BWIN included, share the SEC industry code Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service. The largest are: Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH), Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), Aon Plc (AON), Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO), Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH), Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.