Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $59.69B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 22 Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AJG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How AJG ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AJG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $59.69B | 2/22 |
| P/E Ratio | 38.03x | 2/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.52x | 11/16 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.16% | 6/8 |
| EPS | $6.03 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $92.54 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $61.47 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AJG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 6.6% | 11/12 |
| ROA | 1.9% | 11/17 |
| Gross Margin | 28.9% | 4/7 |
| Net Margin | 10.0% | 8/15 |
| EBT Margin | 12.6% | 12/22 |
| Tax Rate | 20.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AJG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.05x | 14/20 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.45x | 9/20 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.45x | 11/20 |
| Working Capital | $2.28B | 2/18 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AJG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.45B | 3/23 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 15.6% | 4/14 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AJG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.19x | 18/22 |
| Receivables Turnover | 2.6x | 13/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 20.6x | 11/14 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 141 days | 1/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AJG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $15.75B | 3/21 |
| Net Income | $1.57B | 3/17 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $11.20B | 1/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AJG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.71 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 44.9% | 2/5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 256M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $45.45B | 55.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.39B | 1.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $6.08B | 7.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $58.06B | 71.0% of assets |
AJG quarterly financials and insider trading
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | ▼ | $59.69B |
| MRSH Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. | ▶ | $84.47B |
| AON Aon Plc | ▼ | $58.27B |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | ▶ | $21.43B |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $14.50B |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Co | ▲ | $10.66B |
| ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $6.18B |
| HGTY Hagerty, Inc. | ▲ | $5.15B |
| BWIN Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4.45B |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | ▼ | $4.29B |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $4.00B |
| CRVL Corvel Corp | ▲ | $3.98B |
| GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. | ▲ | $1.58B |
| HUIZ Huize Holding Ltd | ▲ | $1.33B |
| TWFG Twfg, Inc. | ▲ | $1.31B |
| CRD-A Crawford & Co | ▲ | $613M |
| RDZN Roadzen Inc. | ▲ | $93M |
| SLQT Selectquote, Inc. | ▲ | $61M |
| HIT Health In Tech, Inc. | ▲ | $44M |
| EHTH Ehealth, Inc. | ▲ | $20M |
| CCG Cheche Group Inc. | ▶ | $10M |
| EZRA Reliance Global Group, Inc. | ▲ | $2M |
| AAPI Apple Isports Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| QDMI Qdm International Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| SUND Sundance Strategies, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where AJG sits on the market map
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock news
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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AJG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. forecasts updated?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, AJG included, share the SEC industry code Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service. The largest are: Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH), Aon Plc (AON), Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO), Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH), Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE), Enact Holdings, Inc. (ACT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.