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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13
Caterpillar Inc (CAT) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$355.23B
mega-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary
Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Caterpillar Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Caterpillar Inc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $355.23B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Construction Machinery & Equip issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CAT is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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CAT price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-14
How CAT ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Caterpillar Inc (CAT) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction Machinery & Equip peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | CAT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $355.23B | 1/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.76x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 18.32x | 1/6 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.79% | 5/5 |
| EPS | $23.23 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $42.19 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $162.57 | – |
| FCF/Share | $23.27 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | CAT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 56.4% | – |
| ROA | 10.7% | – |
| ROIC | 20.8% | 2/5 |
| Gross Margin | 82.2% | 1/6 |
| Operating Margin | 17.2% | 2/5 |
| Net Margin | 14.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | 18.5% | 2/6 |
| Tax Rate | 23.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | CAT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.37x | 5/5 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.85x | 5/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.29x | 2/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.29x | 2/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.4x | 4/5 |
| Working Capital | $14.66B | 1/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | CAT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $13.57B | 1/6 |
| Free Cash Flow | $10.70B | 1/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$2.87B | 5/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 19.3% | 1/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 20.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 14.3% | 1/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.8% | 1/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | CAT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.73x | 4/6 |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.7x | 4/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 0.7x | 6/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.8x | 5/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 64 days | 2/5 |
| Days Inventory | 565 days | 1/6 |
| Payables Period | 282 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 347 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | CAT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $74.73B | 1/6 |
| Operating Income | $13.09B | 1/5 |
| Net Income | $10.95B | – |
| R&D Expense | $2.27B | 1/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $7.53B | 1/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $13.33B | 1/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | CAT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $6.12 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 26.4% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 460M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $54.45B | 53.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $6.71B | 6.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $13.19B | 12.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $20.63B | 20.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $83.22B | 81.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $29.48B | 28.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
CAT quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Construction Machinery & Equip
Caterpillar Inc (CAT) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Caterpillar Inc (Construction Machinery & Equip): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Technology · Construction Machinery & Equip
News
Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock news
Can Caterpillar (CAT) Keep Growing as Construction Slows? AI May Hold the Key
Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) has delivered strong growth this year, and that is reflected in the stock, which has jumped by 37% year-to-date. That means that investors are paying a considerable premium ...
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is a trending stock: Facts to know before betting on it
Caterpillar (CAT) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the ...
FAQ
Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Caterpillar Inc (CAT) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Caterpillar Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Caterpillar Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CAT is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Caterpillar Inc forecasts updated?
Caterpillar Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are Caterpillar Inc's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, CAT included, share the SEC industry code Construction Machinery & Equip. The largest are: Cnh Industrial N.V. (CNH), Astec Industries Inc (ASTE), Aebi Schmidt Holding Ag (AEBI), Columbus Mckinnon Corp (CMCO), Gencor Industries Inc (GENC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.