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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 24.0% Spearman, 196 dates
Market Cap $257M small-cap · #52 of 60 peers
Summary

Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, CNCK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4009 stocks scored that day.

Coincheck Group N.V. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $257M. It ranks number 52 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CNCK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 196 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 239 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CNCK price chart and AI forecast

CNCK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CNCK ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in JPY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricCNCKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $257M $1.37B 52/60

Financial Health

MetricCNCKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.07x 1.92x 29/41
D/E Ratio 8.00x 1.73x 8/54
Financial Leverage 9.00x 2.86x 8/52
Working Capital $47M $143M 28/40

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCNCKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 192M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from JPY)

Total Current Assets$758M
Cash & Short-term Investments$68M
Total Liabilities$727M
Quarterly Financial Reports

CNCK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Finance Services

Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Coincheck Group N.V. (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. ▶ $257M – –
AXP American Express Co ▶ $211.96B 19.1x 6.2x
MSTR Strategy Inc ▲ $58.13B – 1.9x
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. ▲ $48.50B – 3.7x
SYF Synchrony Financial ▼ $24.09B 7.6x 1.4x
CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. ▲ $22.08B 20.6x 6.3x
SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. ▶ $19.49B 35.1x 1.8x
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. ▶ $14.09B – –
IREN Iren Ltd ▶ $11.98B – 2.9x
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. ▲ $11.34B 9.7x 8.1x
WULF Terawulf Inc. ▲ $6.30B – 42.8x
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. ▲ $5.82B – 2.7x
KLAR Klarna Group Plc ▼ $5.10B – –
DAVE Dave Inc./De ▲ $4.98B 23.9x 24.0x
BLSH Bullish ▲ $4.81B – –
CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx ▲ $4.64B – –
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. ▲ $4.17B – 7.4x
GPGI Gpgi, Inc. ▼ $3.68B – 1.2x
MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. ▲ $3.22B – 1.9x
IOND Ionic Digital Inc. ▼ $2.95B – 5.8x
SII Sprott Inc. ▶ $2.92B 16.7x –
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.41B 44.2x 3.0x
CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. ▲ $2.39B – 3.1x
BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group ▲ $2.28B – –
ASST Strive, Inc. ▶ $2.19B – 446.4x
XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. ▶ $2.11B – –
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc ▲ $1.94B 3.1x 1.0x
SECZ Securitize Corp. ▶ $1.85B – –
WLTH Wealthfront Corp ▲ $1.75B – 2.8x
KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. ▲ $1.59B – 4.8x
PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ▲ $1.49B 14.7x 2.5x
PWP Perella Weinberg Partners ▲ $1.24B 27.0x –
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. ▶ $1.14B 45.0x 0.7x
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. ▼ $922M 23.4x –
BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. ▲ $763M – 1.8x
BUR Burford Capital Ltd ▲ $722M – 0.9x
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. ▶ $699M – 1.5x
GDOT Green Dot Corp ▲ $699M – 0.7x
HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. ▲ $609M – 1.1x
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. ▶ $590M – 0.9x
VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. ▶ $585M 5.5x 0.8x
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. ▲ $528M – 1.1x
WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. ▲ $505M – 1.5x
GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. ▲ $503M – 1.1x
OPFI Oppfi Inc. ▲ $492M 3.0x –
OPRT Oportun Financial Corp ▲ $424M 16.5x 1.0x
BTBT Bit Digital, Inc ▲ $389M – 1.0x
SVIA Silvia, Inc. ▼ $344M – 1.3x
ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. ▶ $330M – 0.8x
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. ▶ $283M – 1.1x
USDE Stablecoinx Inc. ▼ $275M – –
BKKT Bakkt, Inc. ▶ $266M – 0.8x
MFIN Medallion Financial Corp ▲ $257M 6.9x 0.6x
SNFCA Security National Financial Corp ▲ $240M 6.9x 0.6x
ZSQR Z Squared Inc. ▲ $227M – 1.7x
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. ▲ $198M 10.5x 0.6x
LDI Loandepot, Inc. ▲ $192M – 1.0x
SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc ▼ $183M – 1.2x
EXOD Exodus Movement, Inc. ▲ $182M – 0.9x
USBC Usbc, Inc. ▶ $175M – –

Where CNCK sits on the market map

Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
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News

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FAQ

Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, CNCK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4009 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Coincheck Group N.V. stock predictions?

For CNCK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 196 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 239 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Coincheck Group N.V. forecasts updated?

Coincheck Group N.V. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Coincheck Group N.V.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CNCK included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.