Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, CTOS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.07B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 9 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For CTOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How CTOS ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | CTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.07B | 6/9 |
| P/E Ratio | 227.00x | 1/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.53x | 4/8 |
| EPS | $0.04 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.59 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $8.95 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | CTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 6.2% | – |
| Gross Margin | 22.1% | 4/5 |
| Operating Margin | 8.0% | 4/6 |
| EBT Margin | 0.7% | 7/7 |
| Tax Rate | -59.4% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | CTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.34x | 2/5 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.29x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 3.42x | 2/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.42x | 1/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.9x | 7/7 |
| Working Capital | $339M | 2/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | CTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $197M | 6/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -29.6% | 6/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | CTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.56x | 3/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.3x | 2/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.5x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 13.1x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 44 days | 4/5 |
| Days Inventory | 240 days | – |
| Payables Period | 27 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 257 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | CTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.04B | 4/6 |
| Operating Income | $163M | 5/6 |
| SG&A Expense | $230M | 4/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.58B | 3/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | CTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 228M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.33B | 36.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $10M | 0.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $245M | 6.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $1.04B | 28.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.79B | 77.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $872M | 24.2% of assets |
CTOS quarterly financials and insider trading
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. | ▶ | $2.07B |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | ▼ | $65.52B |
| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $31.15B |
| AER Aercap Holdings N.V. | ▼ | $24.31B |
| EQPT Equipmentshare.Com Inc | ▲ | $3.44B |
| MGRC Mcgrath Rentcorp | ▼ | $2.76B |
| PRG Prog Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.23B |
| UPBD Upbound Group, Inc. | ▶ | $954M |
| KPLT Katapult Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $562M |
Where CTOS sits on the market map
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) stock news
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Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, CTOS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Custom Truck One Source, Inc. stock predictions?
For CTOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Custom Truck One Source, Inc. forecasts updated?
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Custom Truck One Source, Inc.'s industry peers?
9 issuers in our coverage, CTOS included, share the SEC industry code Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC. The largest are: United Rentals, Inc. (URI), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB), Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER), Equipmentshare.Com Inc (EQPT), Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC), Prog Holdings, Inc. (PRG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.