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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Defi Development Corp. (DFDV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 48.0% Spearman, 300 dates
Market Cap $117M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Defi Development Corp. (DFDV) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Defi Development Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Defi Development Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $117M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 99.6% is the highest of the 20 peers that report one.

For DFDV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 300 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 33.0%, measured on 343 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DFDV included.

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Price

DFDV price chart and AI forecast

DFDV
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DFDV ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Defi Development Corp. (DFDV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDFDVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $117M $1.34B 60/60
EPS $-9.02 – –
Revenue/Share $0.49 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDFDVIndustry medianRank
ROA -97.9% -2.4% 32/32
ROIC -120.5% -22.4% 25/27
Gross Margin 99.6% 61.9% 1/20
Operating Margin -866.5% -193.5% 26/30
Net Margin -1319.5% -4.8% 27/29
EBT Margin -1326.7% -23.7% 38/42
Tax Rate 0.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricDFDVIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.21x 1.92x 28/41
Interest Coverage -10.7x -4.2x 18/33
Working Capital $20M $143M 29/40

Cash Flow

MetricDFDVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$30M -$4M 31/47

Operational Efficiency

MetricDFDVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.07x 0.18x 27/36

Income Statement

MetricDFDVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $15M $498M 36/39
Operating Income -$131M -$131M 17/33
Net Income -$199M -$43M 20/33
R&D Expense $880K $82M 11/12
SG&A Expense $29M $241M 19/20
Cost of Goods Sold $340K $71M 21/22

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDFDVIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 31M – –
Net Income Growth -1553.7% 9.1% 14/14

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$115M
Cash & Short-term Investments$4M
Total Liabilities$215M
Quarterly Financial Reports

DFDV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Finance Services

Defi Development Corp. (DFDV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Defi Development Corp. (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DFDV Defi Development Corp. ▲ $117M – –
AXP American Express Co ▶ $211.77B 19.0x 6.2x
MSTR Strategy Inc ▲ $52.57B – 1.7x
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. ▲ $45.69B – 3.5x
SYF Synchrony Financial ▶ $23.97B 7.6x 1.4x
CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. ▲ $20.87B 19.5x 6.0x
SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. ▲ $18.79B 33.8x 1.7x
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. ▲ $13.07B – –
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. ▲ $11.23B 9.6x 8.0x
IREN Iren Ltd ▲ $10.64B – 2.5x
WULF Terawulf Inc. ▲ $5.83B – 39.6x
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. ▲ $5.15B – 2.4x
DAVE Dave Inc./De ▲ $4.96B 23.8x 23.9x
KLAR Klarna Group Plc ▶ $4.91B – –
BLSH Bullish ▲ $4.45B – –
CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx ▲ $4.33B – –
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. ▲ $3.73B – 6.6x
GPGI Gpgi, Inc. ▶ $3.61B – 1.1x
MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.91B – 1.8x
IOND Ionic Digital Inc. ▶ $2.83B – 5.5x
SII Sprott Inc. ▶ $2.79B 15.9x –
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.29B 42.1x 2.9x
CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. ▲ $2.15B – 2.8x
BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group ▲ $2.10B – –
ASST Strive, Inc. ▲ $2.06B – 419.9x
XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. ▲ $1.95B – –
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc ▲ $1.79B 2.8x 1.0x
WLTH Wealthfront Corp ▲ $1.66B – 2.7x
SECZ Securitize Corp. ▶ $1.61B – –
PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ▲ $1.44B 14.1x 2.4x
KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. ▲ $1.43B – 4.3x
PWP Perella Weinberg Partners ▲ $1.25B 27.1x –
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. ▶ $1.12B 44.1x 0.7x
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. ▶ $889M 22.6x –
GDOT Green Dot Corp ▶ $695M – 0.7x
BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. ▲ $691M – 1.6x
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. ▶ $681M – 1.5x
BUR Burford Capital Ltd ▲ $659M – 0.8x
VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. ▶ $581M 5.5x 0.8x
HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. ▲ $557M – 1.0x
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. ▲ $551M – 0.8x
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. ▲ $510M – 1.1x
OPFI Oppfi Inc. ▲ $481M 2.9x –
GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. ▲ $463M – 1.0x
WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. ▲ $457M – 1.4x
OPRT Oportun Financial Corp ▲ $418M 16.2x 1.0x
BTBT Bit Digital, Inc ▲ $346M – 0.9x
SVIA Silvia, Inc. ▼ $323M – 1.2x
ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. ▲ $318M – 0.8x
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. ▲ $266M – 1.0x
USDE Stablecoinx Inc. ▼ $257M – –
MFIN Medallion Financial Corp ▲ $257M 6.9x 0.6x
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. ▲ $255M – –
BKKT Bakkt, Inc. ▲ $252M – 0.7x
SNFCA Security National Financial Corp ▶ $239M 6.9x 0.6x
ZSQR Z Squared Inc. ▲ $214M – 1.6x
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. ▲ $197M 10.5x 0.6x
LDI Loandepot, Inc. ▲ $181M – 0.9x
USBC Usbc, Inc. ▲ $170M – –
SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc ▲ $164M – 1.1x

Where DFDV sits on the market map

Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
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News

Defi Development Corp. (DFDV) stock news

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FAQ

Defi Development Corp. (DFDV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Defi Development Corp. (DFDV) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Defi Development Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Defi Development Corp. stock predictions?

For DFDV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 300 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 33.0%, measured on 343 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Defi Development Corp. forecasts updated?

Defi Development Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Defi Development Corp.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, DFDV included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.