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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $1.51B small-cap · #10 of 29 peers
Summary

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ellington Financial Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ellington Financial Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.51B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 29 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for EFC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, EFC included.

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Price

EFC price chart and AI forecast

EFC
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How EFC ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricEFCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.51B $659M 10/29
P/E Ratio 7.76x 13.84x 10/12
P/B Ratio 0.77x 1.16x 17/25
Dividend Yield 13.61% 9.88% 4/10
EPS $1.17 – –
Book Value/Share $15.25 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricEFCIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.9% 2.3% 4/23
ROA 0.9% 0.9% 14/26
Tax Rate 1.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricEFCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 9.68x 1.40x 3/29
Financial Leverage 10.70x 2.04x 2/29
Interest Coverage 0.6x 1.7x 15/26

Cash Flow

MetricEFCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$618M $12M 33/33

Income Statement

MetricEFCIndustry medianRank
Net Income $194M $3M 4/26

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricEFCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.59 – –
Payout Ratio 135.9% 121.4% 3/8
Shares Outstanding 129M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$247M1.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$19.03B90.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

EFC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ellington Financial Inc. (Real Estate): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
EFC Ellington Financial Inc. ▼ $1.51B 7.8x 0.8x
CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. ▶ $37.55B 28.9x 4.5x
TRNO Terreno Realty Corp ▶ $7.18B 18.5x 1.6x
FSV Firstservice Corp ▼ $5.98B – 4.4x
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. ▼ $4.37B – 8.9x
MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. ▶ $3.72B 7.8x 0.6x
CURB Curbline Properties Corp. ▶ $2.86B 91.3x 1.6x
CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. ▼ $2.67B 38.7x 1.3x
UE Urban Edge Properties ▼ $2.44B 23.3x 1.8x
GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ ▲ $1.73B 17.4x 1.5x
IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc ▲ $1.42B 10.3x 0.8x
FOR Forestar Group Inc. ▲ $1.30B 7.6x 0.7x
OPI Office Properties Income Trust ▶ $1.09B – 2.1x
SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp ▲ $724M – 5.7x
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. ▲ $659M – 0.2x
AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. ▲ $451M – 0.9x
TRC Tejon Ranch Co ▲ $446M – 0.9x
FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. ▲ $384M – 0.9x
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc ▲ $293M – 9.4x
CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. ▲ $186M 8.2x 7.9x
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. ▲ $174M – 0.1x
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. ▲ $164M – 0.7x
OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc ▼ $154M – –
SRG Seritage Growth Properties ▲ $88M – –
LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas ▲ $88M – –
AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. ▼ $6M – 1.2x
CWD Calibercos Inc. ▶ $5M – –
NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. ▼ $550K – 0.3x
AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc ▶ $290K 2.4x 0.5x
AEI Alset Inc. ▶ N/A – –
CSUI Cannabis Suisse Corp. ▶ N/A – –
DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. ▼ N/A – –
FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc ▶ N/A – –
GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MYCB My City Builders, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. ▶ N/A – –

Where EFC sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate
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News

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock news

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FAQ

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ellington Financial Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ellington Financial Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for EFC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ellington Financial Inc. forecasts updated?

Ellington Financial Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Ellington Financial Inc.'s industry peers?

36 issuers in our coverage, EFC included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP), Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.