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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-30

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) Stock Forecast Oct. 30, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 30, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 3.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $19.01B large-cap · #21 of 60 peers
Summary

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores First Solar, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

First Solar, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $19.01B. It ranks number 21 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For FSLR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-07-31 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-09-30. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FSLR included.

Price

FSLR price chart and AI forecast

FSLR
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How FSLR ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFSLRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $19.01B $8.63B 21/60
P/E Ratio 10.24x 42.97x 38/40
P/B Ratio 1.75x 4.94x 53/57
EPS $17.28 – –
Book Value/Share $101.24 – –
Revenue/Share $46.66 – –
FCF/Share $2.17 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFSLRIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.1% 12.6% 16/46
ROA 13.3% 6.8% 11/45
ROIC 15.8% 6.9% 12/54
Gross Margin 49.2% 46.4% 26/57
Operating Margin 37.7% 9.6% 4/57
Net Margin 37.1% 12.9% 3/46
EBT Margin 38.5% 9.5% 5/57
Tax Rate 3.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricFSLRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.57x 3.13x 37/56
Quick Ratio 2.02x 2.29x 32/54
D/E Ratio 0.29x 0.44x 38/59
Financial Leverage 1.29x 1.44x 39/57
Interest Coverage 26.4x 8.2x 14/45
Working Capital $3.24B $1.12B 14/56

Cash Flow

MetricFSLRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $839M $250M 18/57
Free Cash Flow $233M $158M 23/52
Capital Spending -$606M -$60M 43/52
OCF Growth YoY -48.4% 26.5% 38/45
FCF Growth YoY -62.1% 5.8% 32/41
FCF/Sales 4.6% 13.4% 38/52
CapEx/Sales 12.1% 4.3% 9/52

Operational Efficiency

MetricFSLRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.36x 0.56x 45/54
Receivables Turnover 3.1x 6.2x 47/51
Inventory Turnover 2.2x 2.4x 33/53
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.9x 5.6x 50/53
Days Sales Outstanding 116 days 59 days 5/51
Days Inventory 163 days 150 days 21/53
Payables Period 49 days 56 days 39/51
Cash Conversion Cycle 231 days 142 days 4/47

Income Statement

MetricFSLRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.01B $1.27B 16/56
Operating Income $1.89B $166M 9/57
Net Income $1.86B $318M 10/46
R&D Expense $276M $219M 23/55
SG&A Expense $233M $238M 29/56
Cost of Goods Sold $2.54B $662M 16/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFSLRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 107M – –
Net Income Growth 32.9% 41.0% 19/29
EPS Growth 32.6% 44.7% 19/32

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.31B37.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.58B11.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.59B11.3% of assets
Inventory$1.14B8.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.14B22.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.73B12.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FSLR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Semiconductors & Related Devices

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as First Solar, Inc. (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FSLR First Solar, Inc. $19.01B 10.2x 1.8x
NVDA Nvidia Corp $4.87T 23.3x 21.3x
AVGO Broadcom Inc. $1.54T 41.1x 15.4x
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc $762.10B 133.8x 11.3x
INTC Intel Corp $302.49B – 2.6x
AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De $297.23B 32.3x 11.6x
TXN Texas Instruments Inc $275.82B 39.1x 14.4x
ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk $244.33B 233.4x 28.3x
ADI Analog Devices Inc $200.05B 44.8x 6.0x
MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. $191.46B 68.7x 10.3x
ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. $86.22B – –
NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. $64.74B 20.2x 5.4x
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. $61.13B 75.7x 15.7x
ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. $44.88B 147.0x 26.0x
STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. $41.54B 17.8x 2.3x
MCHP Microchip Technology Inc $41.33B 111.9x 6.4x
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd $28.38B 53.2x 10.4x
ON On Semiconductor Corp $27.90B 45.1x 3.9x
Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. $24.14B 29.7x 3.3x
GFS Globalfoundries Inc. $23.23B 14.8x –
CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. $22.89B – 2.5x
MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. $17.90B 91.9x 11.6x
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd $17.42B 23.8x 6.0x
NXT Nextpower Inc. $13.83B 22.9x 5.2x
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp $13.56B 681.7x 17.2x
SITM Sitime Corp $13.15B 617.9x 12.8x
SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. $12.82B 72.8x 2.2x
SMTC Semtech Corp $11.33B – 19.8x
AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. $9.76B 16.1x 2.0x
RMBS Rambus Inc $9.04B 34.4x 6.4x
VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. $8.22B – 5.7x
SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. $7.41B – 6.8x
FORM Formfactor Inc $6.82B 68.2x 6.1x
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. $6.70B – 4.0x
MXL Maxlinear, Inc $6.14B – 11.5x
ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. $5.99B 3215.0x 6.0x
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $5.59B 13.6x 2.6x
SYNA Synaptics Inc $4.59B – 4.9x
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc $3.73B 63.0x 4.1x
DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ $3.67B 55.4x 1.9x
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. $3.65B 29.1x 2.9x
AXTI Axt Inc $3.61B – 4.1x
OSIS Osi Systems Inc $3.17B 21.4x 4.1x
IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp $3.10B 105.7x 1.5x
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. $2.86B 18.3x 5.5x
AMBA Ambarella Inc $2.72B – 4.4x
NLST Netlist Inc $2.60B – 112.2x
POWI Power Integrations Inc $2.45B 81.2x 3.6x
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. $2.12B 69.9x 2.9x
LASR Nlight, Inc. $2.06B – 4.7x
NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp $1.87B – 4.8x
SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. $1.86B – 4.5x
HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. $1.82B – –
PLAB Photronics Inc $1.63B 9.4x 1.3x
ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. $1.38B – 1.6x
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. $1.28B 40.0x 2.1x
WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. $1.10B – 1.2x
AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. $1.05B 3.1x 2.6x
AIP Arteris, Inc. $924M – 13.7x
TE T1 Energy Inc. $842M – 4.2x

Where FSLR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Semiconductors & Related Devices
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News

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FAQ

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores First Solar, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are First Solar, Inc. stock predictions?

For FSLR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-07-31 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-09-30. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are First Solar, Inc. forecasts updated?

First Solar, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 30, 2026.

Which companies are First Solar, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, FSLR included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.