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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $751M small-cap · #3 of 6 peers
Summary

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Groupon, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Groupon, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $751M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-Advertising Agencies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GRPN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GRPN included.

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Price

GRPN price chart and AI forecast

GRPN
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How GRPN ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Advertising Agencies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGRPNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $751M $745M 3/6
EPS $-2.58 – –
Revenue/Share $12.23 – –
FCF/Share $0.74 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGRPNIndustry medianRank
ROA -20.9% – –
ROIC 2.2% 2.2% 3/5
Gross Margin 90.7% 39.3% 1/5
Operating Margin 0.9% 0.9% 3/5
Net Margin -25.3% – –
EBT Margin -19.7% 0.5% 4/5
Tax Rate -26.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricGRPNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.79x 0.91x 5/5
Working Capital -$82M -$2M 4/5

Cash Flow

MetricGRPNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $44M $22M 3/6
Free Cash Flow $30M – –
Capital Spending -$14M – –
OCF Growth YoY -44.0% – –
FCF Growth YoY -53.9% – –
FCF/Sales 6.0% – –
CapEx/Sales 2.9% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricGRPNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.83x – –
Receivables Turnover 21.0x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 32.3x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 17 days – –
Payables Period 168 days – –

Income Statement

MetricGRPNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $497M – –
Operating Income $4M $2M 3/6
Net Income -$125M – –
SG&A Expense $274M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $46M $87M 4/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGRPNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 41M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$308M51.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$226M37.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$24M4.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$672M112.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$369M61.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GRPN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Advertising Agencies

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Groupon, Inc. (Services-Advertising Agencies): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GRPN Groupon, Inc. ▲ $751M – –
WPP Wpp Plc ▶ $26.83B – –
OMC Omnicom Group Inc. ▼ $22.37B – 2.3x
CRTO Criteo S.A. ▼ $738M – 0.7x
SWAG Stran & Company, Inc. ▲ $26M – 0.8x
SPTY Specificity, Inc. ▼ $4M – –
STCB Starco Brands, Inc. ▶ N/A – –

Where GRPN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Advertising Agencies
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News

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) stock news

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FAQ

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Groupon, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Groupon, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GRPN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Groupon, Inc. forecasts updated?

Groupon, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Groupon, Inc.'s industry peers?

7 issuers in our coverage, GRPN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Advertising Agencies. The largest are: Wpp Plc (WPP), Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC), Criteo S.A. (CRTO), Stran & Company, Inc. (SWAG), Specificity, Inc. (SPTY), Starco Brands, Inc. (STCB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.