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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $217.43B mega-cap
Summary

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks International Business Machines Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

International Business Machines Corp is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $217.43B.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for IBM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, IBM included.

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Price

IBM price chart and AI forecast

IBM
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How IBM ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Computer & office Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $217.43B – –
P/E Ratio 20.27x – –
P/B Ratio 6.31x – –
Dividend Yield 2.90% – –
EPS $11.29 – –
Book Value/Share $36.57 – –
Revenue/Share $73.34 – –
FCF/Share $14.64 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
ROE 31.1% – –
ROA 7.0% – –
Gross Margin 58.1% – –
Net Margin 15.5% – –
EBT Margin 15.1% – –
Tax Rate -2.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.79x – –
Quick Ratio 0.74x – –
D/E Ratio 3.41x – –
Financial Leverage 4.41x – –
Working Capital -$7.51B – –

Cash Flow

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $14.89B – –
Free Cash Flow $13.79B – –
Capital Spending -$1.10B – –
OCF Growth YoY 12.1% – –
FCF Growth YoY 12.7% – –
FCF/Sales 20.0% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.6% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.45x – –
Receivables Turnover 11.4x – –
Inventory Turnover 16.6x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.1x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 32 days – –
Days Inventory 22 days – –
Payables Period 55 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle -1 days – –

Income Statement

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $69.10B – –
Net Income $10.72B – –
R&D Expense $8.75B – –
SG&A Expense $20.28B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $28.95B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $6.70 – –
Payout Ratio 59.3% – –
Shares Outstanding 942M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$28.40B18.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$7.17B4.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$6.04B4.0% of assets
Inventory$1.75B1.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$117.56B77.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$31.52B20.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

IBM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Computer & office Equipment

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as International Business Machines Corp (Computer & office Equipment): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
IBM International Business Machines Corp ▼ $217.43B 20.3x 6.3x
HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co ▲ $91.34B – 3.5x
HPQ Hp Inc ▶ $27.62B 11.3x –

Where IBM sits on the market map

Technology · Computer & office Equipment
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News

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock news

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FAQ

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks International Business Machines Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are International Business Machines Corp stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for IBM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are International Business Machines Corp forecasts updated?

International Business Machines Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are International Business Machines Corp's industry peers?

3 issuers in our coverage, IBM included, share the SEC industry code Computer & office Equipment. The largest are: Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (HPE), Hp Inc (HPQ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.