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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-10

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock Forecast Nov. 10, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 10, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4224 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 26.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $679.13B mega-cap · #2 of 60 peers
Summary

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Johnson & Johnson every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Johnson & Johnson is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $679.13B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For JNJ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-23 and 2026-08-12 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-23 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.6%, sell < -0.3%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-09 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, JNJ included.

Price

JNJ price chart and AI forecast

JNJ
Cross-section · 2026-11-09

How JNJ ranks among 4224 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-27

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricJNJIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $679.13B $12.74B 2/60
P/E Ratio 42.87x 36.11x 13/32
P/B Ratio 8.33x 7.63x 17/42
Dividend Yield 1.87% 2.26% 7/10
EPS $6.58 – –
Book Value/Share $33.87 – –
Revenue/Share $41.26 – –
FCF/Share $8.55 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricJNJIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.7% 5.3% 11/39
ROA 8.2% 1.9% 16/43
Gross Margin 67.6% 82.1% 28/36
Net Margin 16.2% 6.3% 12/35
EBT Margin 17.9% 9.9% 16/46
Tax Rate 9.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricJNJIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.02x 2.46x 53/58
Quick Ratio 0.74x 1.64x 38/43
D/E Ratio 1.42x 1.22x 16/47
Financial Leverage 2.42x 2.12x 15/47
Interest Coverage 42.2x 1.2x 4/33
Working Capital $894M $919M 31/58

Cash Flow

MetricJNJIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $26.16B $198M 7/59
Free Cash Flow $20.59B $196M 6/50
Capital Spending -$5.57B -$52M 47/50
OCF Growth YoY 8.1% 3.7% 17/34
FCF Growth YoY 5.1% 0.0% 13/32
FCF/Sales 20.7% 16.9% 16/42
CapEx/Sales 5.6% 2.8% 10/42

Operational Efficiency

MetricJNJIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.50x 0.49x 19/39
Receivables Turnover 5.2x 5.3x 19/36
Inventory Turnover 2.1x 1.7x 17/35
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.1x 8.1x 26/41
Days Sales Outstanding 70 days 69 days 18/36
Days Inventory 174 days 216 days 19/35
Payables Period 106 days 124 days 15/24
Cash Conversion Cycle 138 days 197 days 13/22

Income Statement

MetricJNJIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $99.33B $2.90B 5/46
Net Income $16.09B $51M 5/47
R&D Expense $1.53B $603M 19/58
SG&A Expense $25.50B $1.49B 5/40
Cost of Goods Sold $32.22B $1.87B 5/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricJNJIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $5.28 – –
Payout Ratio 80.2% 73.3% 5/10
Shares Outstanding 2407M – –
Net Income Growth -35.9% 5.9% 17/23
EPS Growth -36.5% 8.3% 18/24

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$56.35B28.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$16.91B8.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$18.99B9.6% of assets
Inventory$15.38B7.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$115.90B58.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$46.14B23.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

JNJ quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Pharmaceutical Preparations

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Johnson & Johnson (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
JNJ Johnson & Johnson $679.13B 42.9x 8.3x
LLY Eli Lilly & Co $1.33T 45.8x 135.1x
ABBV Abbvie Inc. $518.30B 44.9x –
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $367.02B 153.4x 8.2x
NVS Novartis Ag $312.35B 9.8x –
AZN Astrazeneca Plc $293.55B 13.7x –
ABT Abbott Laboratories $192.16B 39.1x 3.8x
NVO Novo Nordisk A S $183.89B 3.1x –
PFE Pfizer Inc $166.60B 37.0x 1.9x
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma $138.67B 35.2x 6.6x
BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co $127.02B 13.8x 5.4x
SNY Sanofi $115.97B – –
GSK Gsk Plc $103.98B 5.7x –
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $93.11B 20.0x 2.8x
TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd $65.66B 6.3x –
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd $49.65B 41.0x 6.2x
ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. $47.44B 1159.3x 8.2x
GMAB Genmab A/S $35.90B 2.2x –
ZTS Zoetis Inc. $32.81B 13.5x 9.9x
RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc $28.82B 47.1x 4.2x
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. $28.08B – 6.6x
INSM Insmed Inc $25.47B – 35.1x
UTHR United Therapeutics Corp $24.11B 21.2x 3.8x
VTRS Viatris Inc $22.87B – –
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $20.98B 7.4x 5.8x
ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S $17.07B – –
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc $15.81B 80.4x 3.8x
BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. $15.18B – –
ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc $13.41B – 2.0x
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. $13.03B – 23.1x
RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd $12.44B 16.4x –
BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc $11.07B 571.8x 1.8x
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $10.00B – 16.0x
TGTX Tg Therapeutics, Inc. $9.49B 22.6x 15.7x
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. $9.16B – 8.7x
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc $8.54B 33.6x 7.9x
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc $8.11B 44.9x 9.7x
KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc $7.76B 91.5x 10.9x
PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. $7.75B – 5.8x
ALKS Alkermes Plc. $7.75B 44.8x 4.2x
RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $7.73B – 87.9x
CYTK Cytokinetics Inc $7.67B – –
AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. $7.02B – 66.6x
ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $6.96B – 14.9x
ORKA Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. $6.92B – 5.8x
ABVX Abivax S.A. $6.83B – –
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $6.80B 141.9x –
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc $6.28B 119.9x 6.5x
BLTE Belite Bio, Inc $6.20B – 8.1x
MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $6.05B – –
MANE Veradermics, Inc $6.01B – 7.4x
COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. $5.82B – 11.3x
SUPN Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $5.56B – 5.2x
PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. $5.47B – –
ERAS Erasca, Inc. $5.46B – 15.1x
EWTX Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. $5.29B 5.8x 3.2x
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc $5.15B – 13.1x
DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ $5.03B – 4.1x
LEGN Legend Biotech Corp $4.49B – –
TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. $4.44B – 196.6x

Where JNJ sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Pharmaceutical Preparations
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FAQ

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Johnson & Johnson every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Johnson & Johnson stock predictions?

For JNJ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-23 and 2026-08-12 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-23 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Johnson & Johnson forecasts updated?

Johnson & Johnson forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 10, 2026.

Which companies are Johnson & Johnson's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, JNJ included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Novartis Ag (NVS), Astrazeneca Plc (AZN), Abbott Laboratories (ABT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.