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AI 90-DAY FORECAST
BULLISH SIGNAL DETECTED · Alpha
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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) AI Forecast

Our AI ranks Moderna, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

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$MRNA Bullish Signal Full forecast available

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) Stock Forecast Sept. 22, 2026


Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Moderna, Inc. Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Moderna, Inc.'s business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on September 22, 2026 (UTC)

Moderna, Inc. Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) operates within the Life Sciences sector, specifically in the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) industry. . With a market capitalization of $69 billion, the company is a large-cap stock offering relative stability combined with growth potential.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Moderna, Inc.'s revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Moderna, Inc. along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Moderna, Inc. is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Moderna, Inc. (Stock Symbol: MRNA) is a prominent company operating within the Life Sciences sector, with a specific focus on the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Moderna, Inc.'s leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Moderna, Inc....

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Moderna, Inc....

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Moderna, Inc. generates annual revenues of $2 billion , indicating a well-established business with proven market demand.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Moderna, Inc....

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Moderna, Inc....

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Moderna, Inc....

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AI ANALYSIS AVAILABLE

Unlock Moderna, Inc.'s AI Price Forecast

Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

4537 Stocks in the out-of-sample test
73.7% Rebalance periods with a positive net return
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Strategic Market Position

Moderna, Inc. strategically competes in the highly dynamic Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) marketplace. As a large-cap market participant, the company has established significant competitive advantages and market presence. Large-cap companies typically benefit from brand recognition, operational scale, diverse revenue streams, and the financial resources to invest in research and development, marketing, and strategic acquisitions. This size category attracts substantial institutional ownership and analyst coverage.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Moderna, Inc. competes within the Life Sciences sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company currently shows negative free cash flow of $-1244 million . Negative free cash flow may reflect heavy investment in growth, working capital needs, or operational challenges. This is common for high-growth companies investing aggressively but warrants attention for mature businesses.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 23.4% gross margin characteristic of commodity-like businesses or high-volume, low-margin operators. Thin gross margins require exceptional operational efficiency and volume to generate meaningful profits. Companies at this margin level are particularly sensitive to cost increases or pricing pressures.

Operating margin of -149.0% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. Operating margin compression relative to gross margin suggests high operating expenses that may warrant efficiency improvements or reflect necessary growth investments.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.20x indicates lower asset turnover that may reflect the industry's capital-intensive nature or potentially underutilized assets. Companies with low turnover typically depend on strong margins to generate adequate returns on capital.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 2.29 demonstrates strong short-term liquidity with current assets significantly exceeding current liabilities. This provides a substantial buffer for meeting near-term obligations and handling unexpected financial needs.

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Moderna, Inc. stock analysis.

Deep dive into Moderna, Inc.'s financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Moderna, Inc. stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Moderna, Inc.:

P/B Ratio 10.21x
Market Cap $69.04B
EPS $-7.98
Book Value/Share $16.93
Revenue/Share $5.58
FCF/Share $-3.12
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Moderna, Inc. converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Moderna, Inc.: An ROE of -46.6% indicates room for improvement in shareholder value creation.

ROE -46.6%
ROA -28.8%
ROIC -39.4%
Gross Margin 23.4%
Operating Margin -149.0%
Net Margin -141.4%
EBT Margin -138.6%
Tax Rate -2.1%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Moderna, Inc.'s ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Moderna, Inc.: A current ratio of 2.29 indicates strong liquidity.

Current Ratio 2.29x
Quick Ratio 2.18x
D/E Ratio 0.62x
Financial Leverage 1.62x
Interest Coverage -85.7x
Working Capital $3.28B
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Moderna, Inc.'s ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Moderna, Inc.: Free cash flow of $-1244M indicates cash challenges that need attention.

Operating Cash Flow -$1.07B
Free Cash Flow -$1.24B
Capital Spending -$171M
FCF/Sales -55.8%
CapEx/Sales 7.7%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Moderna, Inc. uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Moderna, Inc.: An asset turnover of 0.20x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.20x
Receivables Turnover 131.1x
Inventory Turnover 6.1x
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.1x
Days Sales Outstanding 3 days
Days Inventory 60 days
Payables Period 36 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 27 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Moderna, Inc.'s income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Moderna, Inc.: With annual revenue of $2228M, Moderna, Inc. operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $2.23B
Operating Income -$3.32B
Net Income -$3.15B
R&D Expense $2.88B
Cost of Goods Sold $1.71B
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
Total Current Assets $5.82B (53.1% of assets)
Cash & Short-term Investments $1.72B (15.7% of assets)
Accounts Receivable $17M (0.2% of assets)
Inventory $280M (2.6% of assets)
Total Liabilities $4.20B (38.3% of assets)
Short-term Debt $2.37B (21.6% of assets)
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Shares Outstanding 399M

Latest Moderna, Inc. Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) stock price and investment outlook.

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Where MRNA sits on the market map

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Moderna, Inc. Industry Peers - Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Moderna, Inc. (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MRNA ██% $69.04B x 10.2x
AMGN ██% $221.79B 25.4x 19.0x
GILD ██% $189.30B x 16.0x
ARGX ██% $59.64B x x
RVMD ██% $41.32B x 15.9x
BIIB ██% $33.27B 23.6x 1.7x
BNTX ██% $25.51B x x
MESO ██% $20.08B x x
NBIX ██% $14.63B 20.7x 4.0x
EXEL ██% $14.41B x 7.8x
HALO ██% $13.07B 31.6x 91.0x
TECH ██% $11.36B 62.5x 5.4x
TWST ██% $10.40B x 23.3x
KRYS ██% $10.39B 43.0x 7.6x
RGEN ██% $10.20B 245.5x 4.8x
KYMR ██% $10.15B x 6.7x
IBRX ██% $9.85B x x
QGEN ██% $9.71B x 2.6x
PCVX ██% $8.77B x 3.2x
IMVT ██% $7.70B x 10.5x
CGON ██% $6.89B x 6.7x
SRRK ██% $5.87B x 23.1x
CRSP ██% $5.71B x 3.3x
IOVA ██% $4.82B x 6.6x
ADPT ██% $4.48B x 31.3x
RLAY ██% $3.99B x 4.5x
DBVT ██% $3.74B x 22.2x
DNLI ██% $3.45B x 4.1x
TARS ██% $3.40B x 9.8x
BEAM ██% $2.68B x 2.5x
SCNI ██% $2.34B x 298.4x
BCRX ██% $2.24B x x
ADMA ██% $2.20B 13.0x 5.4x
RXRX ██% $2.13B x 2.3x
KOD ██% $2.12B x 34.8x
VCEL ██% $2.03B 83.6x 5.5x
VIR ██% $1.84B x 1.9x
ALVO ██% $1.82B x x
COAG ██% $1.79B x 3.9x
NVAX ██% $1.72B x x
IMCR ██% $1.67B x 4.0x
TSHA ██% $1.64B x 4.2x
CGEM ██% $1.39B x 4.3x
VOR ██% $1.30B x x
MGTX ██% $1.26B 15.9x 5.8x
MAZE ██% $1.24B x 2.7x
REPL ██% $1.21B x 11.5x
IMTX ██% $1.19B x x
JATT ██% $1.17B x 6.0x
VALN ██% $1.15B x x
ODTX ██% $1.11B x 2.6x
GLUE ██% $1.07B x 2.2x
SANA ██% $928M x 6.0x
SLDB ██% $916M x 2.5x
CADL ██% $907M x 7.2x
FDMT ██% $877M x 2.2x
AURA ██% $669M x 2.1x
DNA ██% $631M x 1.5x
ALLO ██% $591M x 1.4x
PRME ██% $579M x 14.5x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Moderna, Inc. Stock Forecast

How accurate are Moderna, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MRNA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

What factors influence Moderna, Inc. stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Moderna, Inc.'s financial metrics, Life Sciences sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Moderna, Inc. a good investment in 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, Moderna, Inc. shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Moderna, Inc. forecasts updated?

Moderna, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on September 22, 2026.

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