Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Match Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Match Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.72B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 58 Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MTCH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MTCH included.
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How MTCH ranks among 4009 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MTCH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $9.72B | 14/58 |
| P/E Ratio | 13.74x | 12/17 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.87% | 1/6 |
| EPS | $2.59 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $15.29 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.97 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MTCH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 17.6% | 6/38 |
| ROIC | 28.4% | 6/48 |
| Gross Margin | 74.8% | 16/44 |
| Operating Margin | 28.1% | 6/46 |
| Net Margin | 20.2% | 9/36 |
| EBT Margin | 24.6% | 8/46 |
| Tax Rate | 18.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MTCH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.72x | 19/52 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.3x | 20/48 |
| Working Capital | $400M | 11/51 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MTCH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.21B | 8/50 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.14B | 6/33 |
| Capital Spending | -$66M | 24/33 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 26.2% | 13/31 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 25.8% | 7/23 |
| FCF/Sales | 32.5% | 3/34 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.9% | 16/34 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MTCH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.87x | 9/39 |
| Receivables Turnover | 12.6x | 4/37 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 24.0x | 17/39 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 29 days | 34/37 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MTCH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.51B | 8/39 |
| Operating Income | $987M | 5/50 |
| Net Income | $707M | 5/37 |
| R&D Expense | $446M | 9/36 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.54B | 8/42 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $884M | 10/44 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MTCH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.79 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 30.5% | 1/5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 230M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $952M | 23.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $581M | 14.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $279M | 6.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $4.27B | 105.9% of assets |
MTCH quarterly financials and insider trading
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Match Group, Inc. (Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MTCH Match Group, Inc. | ▲ | $9.72B |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | ▶ | $4.27T |
| META Meta Platforms, Inc. | ▲ | $1.94T |
| APP Applovin Corp | ▲ | $91.12B |
| NBIS Nebius Group N.V. | ▲ | $52.34B |
| GDS Gds Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $45.01B |
| ZM Zoom Communications, Inc. | ▶ | $28.64B |
| DOCN Digitalocean Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $15.07B |
| BZ Kanzhun Ltd | ▶ | $14.50B |
| FLUT Flutter Entertainment Plc | ▶ | $13.55B |
| PINS Pinterest, Inc. | ▲ | $12.67B |
| TEM Tempus Ai, Inc. | ▲ | $12.31B |
| SNAP Snap Inc | ▲ | $10.98B |
| FDS Factset Research Systems Inc | ▼ | $10.34B |
| SOGP Sound Group Inc. | ▲ | $9.50B |
| TTD Trade Desk, Inc. | ▶ | $5.72B |
| SIFY Sify Technologies Ltd | ▲ | $5.48B |
| WIX Wix.Com Ltd. | ▶ | $3.94B |
| MGNI Magnite, Inc. | ▲ | $3.63B |
| PPLI People Inc | ▶ | $3.04B |
| GRND Grindr Inc. | ▲ | $2.69B |
| DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. | ▶ | $2.15B |
| DV Doubleverify Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $2.10B |
| WB Weibo Corp | ▼ | $1.61B |
| NXDR Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.03B |
| TRIP Tripadvisor, Inc. | ▶ | $1.02B |
| HSTM Healthstream Inc | ▲ | $987M |
| TBLA Taboola.Com Ltd. | ▲ | $935M |
| RXT Rackspace Technology, Inc. | ▲ | $925M |
| DSP Viant Technology Inc. | ▶ | $879M |
| CEVA Ceva Inc | ▲ | $869M |
| PUBM Pubmatic, Inc. | ▲ | $860M |
| BMBL Bumble Inc. | ▲ | $785M |
| SMWB Similarweb Ltd. | ▲ | $756M |
| SABR Sabre Corp | ▲ | $730M |
| EVER Everquote, Inc. | ▶ | $726M |
| RZLV Rezolve Ai Plc | ▲ | $615M |
| NEXN Nexxen International Ltd. | ▲ | $510M |
| ZIP Ziprecruiter, Inc. | ▲ | $373M |
| BLND Blend Labs, Inc. | ▲ | $226M |
| SANG Sangoma Technologies Corp | ▼ | $161M |
| HCAT Health Catalyst, Inc. | ▲ | $131M |
| PODC Podcastone, Inc. | ▲ | $59M |
| TEAD Teads Holding Co. | ▲ | $46M |
| RMXI Rmx Industries, Inc. | ▼ | $43M |
| SST System1, Inc. | ▶ | $23M |
| IPM Intelligent Protection Management Corp. | ▼ | $16M |
| TRSO Transuite.Org Inc. | ▼ | $14M |
| CDLX Cardlytics, Inc. | ▲ | $13M |
| GITS Global Interactive Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $6M |
| CNET Zw Data Action Technologies Inc. | ▶ | $5M |
| BRGX Bioregenx, Inc. | ▼ | $3M |
| FMHS Farmhouse, Inc. /Nv | ▲ | $3M |
| CSAI Cloudastructure, Inc. | ▲ | $2M |
| LMED Latamed Ai Corp. | ▼ | $2M |
| IPDN Professional Diversity Network, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| QSJC Tancheng Group Co., Ltd. | ▼ | $720K |
| BBLR Bubblr Inc. | ▼ | $120K |
| GOAI Eva Live Inc | ▶ | N/A |
| HOLO Microcloud Hologram Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
Where MTCH sits on the market map
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock news
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Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Match Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Match Group, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MTCH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Match Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Match Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Match Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, MTCH included, share the SEC industry code Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.. The largest are: Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), Applovin Corp (APP), Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), Gds Holdings Ltd (GDS), Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.