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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $7.71B mid-cap · #5 of 12 peers
Summary

National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks National Fuel Gas Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

National Fuel Gas Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.71B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 12 Natural Gas Distribution issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 3.20x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NFG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NFG included.

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Price

NFG price chart and AI forecast

NFG
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How NFG ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Natural Gas Distribution peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNFGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.71B $5.00B 5/12
P/E Ratio 11.41x 14.37x 7/9
P/B Ratio 1.96x 1.89x 5/10
Dividend Yield 2.57% 3.14% 6/9
EPS $7.69 – –
Book Value/Share $41.28 – –
Revenue/Share $26.45 – –
FCF/Share $2.34 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNFGIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.2% 10.5% 3/9
ROA 6.5% 3.9% 2/10
ROIC 10.2% 7.1% 4/12
Gross Margin 87.7% 53.5% 1/7
Operating Margin 40.3% 23.9% 1/11
Net Margin 26.9% 15.7% 2/9
EBT Margin 36.0% 23.2% 1/12
Tax Rate 25.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricNFGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.20x 0.87x 1/13
Quick Ratio 3.10x 1.09x 1/9
D/E Ratio 0.75x 1.49x 10/11
Financial Leverage 2.66x 3.04x 7/11
Interest Coverage 6.3x 2.7x 5/13
Working Capital $1.11B -$148M 1/13

Cash Flow

MetricNFGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.27B $616M 5/13
Free Cash Flow $222M -$173M 3/9
Capital Spending -$1.05B -$838M 6/9
OCF Growth YoY 20.0% 15.9% 4/10
FCF Growth YoY 19.6% – –
FCF/Sales 8.8% 8.8% 4/7
CapEx/Sales 41.8% 37.1% 3/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricNFGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.24x 0.34x 7/9
Inventory Turnover 6.0x 15.5x 6/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.3x 0.6x 6/7
Days Inventory 61 days 24 days 2/7
Payables Period 173 days 61 days 3/8

Income Statement

MetricNFGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.51B $2.72B 6/9
Operating Income $1.01B $548M 5/12
Net Income $675M $501M 4/10
Cost of Goods Sold $308M $874M 6/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNFGIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.09 – –
Payout Ratio 27.2% 44.6% 7/9
Shares Outstanding 95M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.61B15.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.24B11.8% of assets
Inventory$51M0.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.96B28.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$358M3.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NFG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Natural Gas Distribution

National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as National Fuel Gas Co (Natural Gas Distribution): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NFG National Fuel Gas Co ▼ $7.71B 11.4x 2.0x
LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. ▶ $59.26B 20.3x 10.4x
VG Venture Global, Inc. ▲ $34.60B 11.4x 4.0x
CQP Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. ▶ $31.26B 10.0x –
ATO Atmos Energy Corp ▶ $27.62B 19.7x 1.8x
NJR New Jersey Resources Corp ▲ $5.26B 14.4x 2.0x
SR Spire Inc ▶ $4.73B 12.7x 1.3x
OGS One Gas, Inc. ▼ $4.69B 16.3x 1.3x
EE Excelerate Energy, Inc. ▶ $3.97B – 5.8x
NWN Northwest Natural Holding Co ▶ $2.05B 16.3x 1.3x
SLNG Stabilis Solutions, Inc. ▲ $97M – 1.7x
NFE New Fortress Energy Inc. ▼ $25M – –
CETY Clean Energy Technologies, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where NFG sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Natural Gas Distribution
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News

National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) stock news

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FAQ

National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks National Fuel Gas Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are National Fuel Gas Co stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NFG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are National Fuel Gas Co forecasts updated?

National Fuel Gas Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are National Fuel Gas Co's industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, NFG included, share the SEC industry code Natural Gas Distribution. The largest are: Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG), Venture Global, Inc. (VG), Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP), Atmos Energy Corp (ATO), New Jersey Resources Corp (NJR), Spire Inc (SR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.