Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Nova Minerals Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Nova Minerals Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $137M. It ranks number 54 by market capitalization among the 60 Gold and Silver Ores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 239 forecast dates between 2024-11-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 282 forecast dates between 2024-11-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.4%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)
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How NVA ranks among 5121 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Gold and Silver Ores peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in AUD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $137M | 54/60 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 38M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from AUD)
| Total Liabilities | $2M |
NVA quarterly financials and insider trading
Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nova Minerals Corp (Gold and Silver Ores): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NVA Nova Minerals Corp | ▲ | $137M |
| NEM Newmont Corp /De/ | ▶ | $122.01B |
| AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd | ▶ | $94.16B |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | ▶ | $60.46B |
| FNV Franco Nevada Corp | ▶ | $46.44B |
| GFI Gold Fields Ltd | ▶ | $33.20B |
| KGC Kinross Gold Corp | ▼ | $28.62B |
| PAAS Pan American Silver Corp | ▶ | $18.46B |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | ▶ | $15.84B |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc | ▼ | $13.43B |
| EQX Equinox Gold Corp. | ▶ | $12.93B |
| IAG Iamgold Corp | ▶ | $10.50B |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corp /Fi | ▶ | $9.44B |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp | ▲ | $7.91B |
| BTG B2gold Corp | ▶ | $6.94B |
| OR Or Royalties Inc. | ▼ | $6.58B |
| SKE Skeena Resources Ltd | ▶ | $3.87B |
| FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. | ▶ | $3.22B |
| TGB Trekor Metals Ltd | ▲ | $2.92B |
| NG Novagold Resources Inc | ▶ | $2.88B |
| SA Seabridge Gold Inc | ▶ | $2.81B |
| EXK Endeavour Silver Corp | ▲ | $2.44B |
| PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. | ▲ | $2.32B |
| SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc | ▶ | $2.13B |
| SIND Sinda Ltd. | ▼ | $1.97B |
| SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co | ▼ | $1.73B |
| HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corp | ▶ | $1.62B |
| IAUX I-80 Gold Corp. | ▼ | $1.32B |
| GOLD Barrick Mining Corp | ▲ | $1.16B |
| VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. | ▲ | $1.15B |
| SLSR Solaris Resources Inc. | ▶ | $1.10B |
| NEWP New Pacific Metals Corp | ▲ | $1.07B |
| ELE Elemental Royalty Corp | ▶ | $1.07B |
| CNL Collective Mining Ltd. | ▲ | $1.04B |
| HSLV Highlander Silver Corp. | ▲ | $1.02B |
| MUX Mcewen Inc. | ▲ | $995M |
| OGG Osisko Gold Group Inc. | ▶ | $833M |
| MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. | ▲ | $752M |
| GROY Gold Royalty Corp. | ▶ | $660M |
| NFGC New Found Gold Corp. | ▲ | $541M |
| NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd | ▲ | $514M |
| CTGO Contango Silver & Gold Inc. | ▶ | $507M |
| CMCL Caledonia Mining Corp Plc | ▶ | $458M |
| TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc. | ▶ | $444M |
| ITRG Integra Resources Corp. | ▲ | $439M |
| VGZ Vista Gold Corp | ▶ | $394M |
| URG Ur-Energy Inc | ▲ | $356M |
| VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. | ▶ | $340M |
| IDR Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $340M |
| TRX Trx Gold Corp | ▲ | $302M |
| SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. | ▶ | $218M |
| TII Titan Mining Corp | ▲ | $186M |
| GLDG Goldmining Inc. | ▶ | $169M |
| PLG Platinum Group Metals Ltd | ▲ | $148M |
| FTCO Fortitude Gold Corp | ▼ | $133M |
| FURY Fury Gold Mines Ltd | ▲ | $95M |
| USGO U.S. Goldmining Inc. | ▲ | $80M |
| XPL Solitario Resources Corp. | ▲ | $54M |
| AUST Austin Gold Corp. | ▲ | $12M |
| NGLD Nevada Canyon Gold Corp. | ▲ | $11M |
Where NVA sits on the market map
Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) stock news
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Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Nova Minerals Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Nova Minerals Corp stock predictions?
For NVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 239 forecast dates between 2024-11-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 282 forecast dates between 2024-11-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nova Minerals Corp forecasts updated?
Nova Minerals Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Nova Minerals Corp's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, NVA included, share the SEC industry code Gold and Silver Ores. The largest are: Newmont Corp /De/ (NEM), Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), Franco Nevada Corp (FNV), Gold Fields Ltd (GFI), Kinross Gold Corp (KGC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.