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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $2.92B mid-cap · #5 of 10 peers
Summary

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, SMG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.92B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 10 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SMG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SMG included.

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Price

SMG price chart and AI forecast

SMG
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How SMG ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSMGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.92B $2.13B 5/10
P/E Ratio 39.47x – –
Dividend Yield 5.29% – –
EPS $1.20 – –
Revenue/Share $59.01 – –
FCF/Share $4.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSMGIndustry medianRank
ROA 2.3% 2.3% 3/5
ROIC 19.4% -0.8% 3/7
Gross Margin 33.7% 33.6% 3/6
Operating Margin 11.6% -1.4% 3/7
Net Margin 2.1% 2.1% 3/5
EBT Margin 7.8% 0.5% 3/7
Tax Rate 37.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricSMGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.21x 2.47x 7/7
Quick Ratio 0.78x 1.75x 5/6
Interest Coverage 6.1x 0.3x 2/8
Working Capital $238M $238M 4/7

Cash Flow

MetricSMGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $369M $105M 3/8
Free Cash Flow $263M $69M 2/6
Capital Spending -$106M -$87M 4/6
OCF Growth YoY 17.0% – –
FCF Growth YoY 7.7% – –
FCF/Sales 7.7% -0.0% 3/6
CapEx/Sales 3.1% 8.0% 5/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricSMGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.08x 0.51x 1/7
Receivables Turnover 4.8x 5.2x 6/7
Inventory Turnover 4.7x 3.9x 3/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.4x 1.1x 2/7
Days Sales Outstanding 76 days 70 days 2/7
Days Inventory 77 days 100 days 4/6
Payables Period 50 days 53 days 4/5
Cash Conversion Cycle 103 days 109 days 4/5

Income Statement

MetricSMGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.44B $676M 3/7
Operating Income $399M -$4M 2/8
Net Income $73M $73M 3/5
SG&A Expense $588M $254M 1/6
Cost of Goods Sold $2.28B $1.36B 3/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSMGIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.65 – –
Payout Ratio 220.8% – –
Shares Outstanding 58M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.35B42.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$28M0.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$713M22.5% of assets
Inventory$481M15.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.38B106.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$800M25.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SMG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Agricultural Chemicals

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co ▶ $2.92B 39.5x –
NTR Nutrien Ltd. ▶ $33.89B – –
CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. ▼ $17.74B 8.5x 3.1x
ICL Icl Group Ltd. ▼ $6.43B – –
MOS Mosaic Co ▼ $6.10B – 0.5x
UAN Cvr Partners, Lp ▼ $1.33B 8.3x –
AVD American Vanguard Corp ▲ $39M – 0.2x
BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc ▲ $9M – –
SNES Senestech, Inc. ▲ $4M – 0.6x
EVGN Evogene Ltd. ▲ $3M – –
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. ▶ N/A – –
CBUS Cibus, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where SMG sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Agricultural Chemicals
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News

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock news

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FAQ

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, SMG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Scotts Miracle-Gro Co stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SMG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Scotts Miracle-Gro Co forecasts updated?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Scotts Miracle-Gro Co's industry peers?

12 issuers in our coverage, SMG included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Mosaic Co (MOS), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN), American Vanguard Corp (AVD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.