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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Mosaic Co (MOS) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $6.10B mid-cap · #4 of 10 peers
Summary

Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mosaic Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mosaic Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.10B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 10 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MOS is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MOS included.

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Price

MOS price chart and AI forecast

MOS
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How MOS ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Mosaic Co (MOS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.10B $2.12B 4/10
P/B Ratio 0.53x – –
Dividend Yield 4.59% – –
EPS $-0.45 – –
Book Value/Share $36.06 – –
Revenue/Share $38.53 – –
FCF/Share $-2.98 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
ROIC -0.8% -0.8% 4/7
Gross Margin 11.0% 33.6% 6/6
Operating Margin -1.4% -1.4% 4/7
EBT Margin 0.5% 0.5% 4/7
Tax Rate 573.2% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.34x 2.47x 6/7
Quick Ratio 0.43x 1.75x 6/6
D/E Ratio 1.13x 1.13x 3/5
Financial Leverage 2.15x 2.63x 4/5
Interest Coverage 0.6x 0.3x 4/8
Working Capital $1.37B $238M 2/7

Cash Flow

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $444M $105M 2/8
Free Cash Flow -$947M $69M 6/6
Capital Spending -$1.39B -$87M 6/6
OCF Growth YoY -62.5% – –
FCF Growth YoY -22125.6% – –
FCF/Sales -7.7% -0.0% 4/6
CapEx/Sales 11.4% 8.0% 2/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.50x 0.51x 5/7
Receivables Turnover 14.2x 5.2x 1/7
Inventory Turnover 3.0x 3.9x 4/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.9x 1.1x 6/7
Days Sales Outstanding 26 days 70 days 7/7
Days Inventory 123 days 100 days 3/6
Payables Period 39 days 53 days 5/5
Cash Conversion Cycle 109 days 109 days 3/5

Income Statement

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $12.25B $676M 1/7
Operating Income -$169M -$4M 8/8
SG&A Expense $512M $254M 2/6
Cost of Goods Sold $10.90B $1.36B 1/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.88 – –
Shares Outstanding 318M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.43B22.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$294M1.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$860M3.5% of assets
Inventory$3.67B15.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$13.01B53.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.89B11.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MOS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Agricultural Chemicals

Mosaic Co (MOS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mosaic Co (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MOS Mosaic Co ▼ $6.10B – 0.5x
NTR Nutrien Ltd. ▶ $33.89B – –
CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. ▼ $17.74B 8.5x 3.1x
ICL Icl Group Ltd. ▼ $6.43B – –
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co ▶ $2.92B 39.5x –
UAN Cvr Partners, Lp ▼ $1.33B 8.3x –
AVD American Vanguard Corp ▲ $42M – 0.2x
BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc ▲ $9M – –
SNES Senestech, Inc. ▲ $4M – 0.6x
EVGN Evogene Ltd. ▲ $3M – –
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. ▶ N/A – –
CBUS Cibus, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where MOS sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Agricultural Chemicals
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News

Mosaic Co (MOS) stock news

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FAQ

Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mosaic Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mosaic Co stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MOS is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mosaic Co forecasts updated?

Mosaic Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Mosaic Co's industry peers?

12 issuers in our coverage, MOS included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN), American Vanguard Corp (AVD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.