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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $49M small-cap · #22 of 28 peers
Summary

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $49M. It ranks number 22 by market capitalization among the 28 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TCBS is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TCBS included.

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Price

TCBS price chart and AI forecast

TCBS
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How TCBS ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTCBSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $49M $192M 22/28
P/E Ratio 14.68x 16.31x 13/21
P/B Ratio 0.88x 0.98x 19/28
Dividend Yield 1.37% 2.12% 11/14
EPS $1.12 – –
Book Value/Share $19.22 – –
Revenue/Share $5.75 – –
FCF/Share $0.81 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTCBSIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.0% 5.5% 13/27
ROA 0.8% 0.8% 14/27
Net Margin 20.1% 20.1% 14/27
EBT Margin 23.6% 23.9% 16/28
Tax Rate 14.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricTCBSIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 7.05x 7.05x 16/31
Financial Leverage 8.05x 8.05x 16/31

Cash Flow

MetricTCBSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $5M $18M 22/28
Free Cash Flow $2M $22M 15/19
Capital Spending -$3M -$2M 13/18
OCF Growth YoY 1738.5% 39.6% 1/22
FCF Growth YoY 7150.0% 31.5% 1/14
FCF/Sales 14.0% 27.3% 16/19
CapEx/Sales 15.4% 2.8% 2/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricTCBSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 6/27
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.2x 3.9x 23/25

Income Statement

MetricTCBSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $16M $41M 23/27
Net Income $3M $4M 15/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTCBSIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.23 – –
Payout Ratio 20.5% 32.1% 9/13
Shares Outstanding 3M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$7M1.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$389M87.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TCBS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 31 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $49M 14.7x 0.9x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association ▶ $4.65B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp ▼ $2.29B – 1.9x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ ▶ $1.11B 14.2x 1.0x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $974M 16.5x 1.2x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $776M 10.8x 2.3x
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $696M 9.4x 1.0x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc ▶ $586M 14.3x 2.1x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $518M 11.1x 1.1x
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $441M – 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md ▶ $436M 125.3x 1.3x
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▲ $383M 9.0x 1.1x
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc ▲ $352M 11.2x 1.3x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▶ $272M – 1.0x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $201M – 1.4x
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $182M 15.9x 1.0x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $151M 36.7x 0.8x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $136M 647.5x 0.9x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $120M 27.2x 1.0x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. ▶ $117M 45.2x 0.8x
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp ▶ $94M 62.8x 0.6x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $61M 8.5x 0.9x
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▶ $44M 24.8x 0.9x
QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $39M – 0.7x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $34M 19.8x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $30M – 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $23M 23.7x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $23M 16.3x 0.9x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ N/A – –
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where TCBS sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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News

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS) stock news

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FAQ

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TCBS is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. forecasts updated?

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.'s industry peers?

31 issuers in our coverage, TCBS included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.